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脫口秀| 美國福爾摩斯:新冠源自武漢實驗室,也許吧!
送交者: 賈舟子 2025年02月06日15:14:04 於 [茗香茶語] 發送悄悄話

導言:本博主藉助於AI,推出一系列中英對照的【說唱】(Rapping)和中式【脫口秀】帖子,旨在通過新穎有趣的方式,激發年輕一代華人對時政的關注與思考。每段【說唱】後都附有原文,方便對照閱讀。《紐約時報》等媒體提供了豐富的優質時政內容,既有時效性,又有深度。為了讓更多年輕華人參與到政治討論中,我們可以嘗試多種方式,各顯神通。如果你對這些內容產生共鳴,歡迎轉發支持!

 

大家好,歡迎來到“CIA新聞脫口秀!今天我們聊點刺激的——新冠病毒到底是從哪來的?是市場裡的野生動物搞的鬼,還是實驗室里有人手一滑,玩脫了?

幾年前,中情局的答案是:……我們不確定。現在他們站出來說:其實我們更傾向於實驗室泄漏。我就想問一句:這幾年你們都研究啥了?是不是盯着同一堆資料,然後突然有人站起來說:哥們兒,我有感覺了!這事兒八成是實驗室干的!

但你別誤會,他們可不是有了新情報哦,完全沒有!就像考試沒看新資料,還是靠盯着舊書本複習,結果有一天覺得:誒,好像明白點什麼了!

據說,CIA這次的結論,部分基於他們對武漢實驗室的安全狀況進行的仔細研究。這讓我想起我的室友,每次在外賣里吃出塑料片,都會嚴肅地說:這家店的食品安全問題值得關注!然後呢?然後接着點!

當然,中情局也不是全然否定自然傳播的可能性。他們說:另一種理論也有道理,我們繼續觀察。這就像你去餐館點菜,服務員告訴你:牛排和雞肉都很好吃,但我們沒有嘗過。那你到底讓我點啥呢?

不過有人覺得這場爭論沒啥意義,因為不管咋回事,中國政府在市場管理和實驗室監管這兩方面都翻車了。還有人說:不不不,這是個嚴肅的情報和科學問題!哎,哥兒們,別吵了,先問問自己:如果最後真查出來是實驗室泄漏,能改變啥?病毒會不好意思自己消失嗎?

說到這裡,中情局的新局長拉特克利夫特別上心,他剛上任就宣布:我要搞清楚這事兒!哥兒們,你這麼認真,家裡人知道嗎?他之前就一直說:我覺得這病毒肯定是從實驗室跑出來的!那咱能不能讓CIA稍微客觀一點,別變成感覺局

其實CIA的觀點變化也不是突如其來的,前任局長伯恩斯早就告訴分析員:你們得有個明確態度!但同時又說:我沒意見,你們愛信哪種都行。這就像你去相親,紅娘告訴你:你必須做決定,但選誰隨你。這不是強行催婚嗎?

更有意思的是,他們的結論是低置信度的,意思是:我們不確定,但我們更傾向於這個方向。這就像醫生告訴你:你可能得了感冒,但也可能沒得。這水平我也行啊!

其實,情報界對這事兒也分成兩派,五個機構覺得病毒是自然起源的,但他們的信心也是低的。聯邦調查局和能源部則認為是實驗室泄漏,但連他們都吵起來了——FBI指向武漢病毒研究所,能源部說可能是另一個實驗室。這就像兩個警察在案發現場,一個說:兇手是隔壁王叔!另一個說:不對,是他侄子!但關鍵是,屍體還沒找到呢!

CIA最後的結論?他們可能會更積極地去滲透武漢實驗室,獲取更多信息。聽起來很酷對吧?但美方官員自己也承認——“”這個秘密太難了!中國政府高層自己可能都不想知道真相,意思是:大家心照不宣,別戳破。

總結一下,整件事發展到現在就是——情報機構們相互瞅着對方,誰也沒拿出實錘,但大家都有點感覺。所以最終的結論是什麼?就是——我們還得等!

好啦,今天的“CIA新聞脫口秀就到這裡,記住,不管病毒從哪來,咱們現在該做的還是——洗手、戴口罩、保持好心情!謝謝大家!

Welcome to the “CIA News Stand-Up Special”!

Today’s hot topic: Where did COVID come from? Was it a natural jump from wild animals in a market? Or did someone in a lab say, “Oops,” and now we all know what a PCR test feels like?

For years, the CIA has been saying, “Uh… we’re not sure.” But now, suddenly, they’re like, “Actually, we’re leaning toward lab leak.” And I just have one question: What changed? Did they find new intelligence? Nope. They just re-examined the same evidence and had an epiphany like, “Wait a minute… this feels more like a lab situation!”

That’s like studying for an exam without opening any new books and suddenly saying, “You know what? I think I get it now!”

Apparently, this shift is based on a “detailed review” of Wuhan’s high-security labs before the outbreak. This reminds me of my roommate—every time he finds plastic in his takeout, he goes, “This place has serious food safety issues.”And then he keeps ordering from there.

To be fair, the CIA isn’t completely ruling out natural origins. They’re saying, “That theory is still valid. We’re keeping an open mind.” Oh great, thanks for clearing that up! That’s like a waiter telling you, “Both the steak and chicken are delicious, but we haven’t actually tasted either.” So… what exactly am I supposed to believe?

Some people say this whole debate is pointless because, “China failed at both market regulation AND lab security.”Others argue it’s “a crucial intelligence and scientific issue.” Look, can we just admit something? Even if we knew for sure it was a lab leak, then what? Is the virus going to feel guilty and pack up its bags?

Meanwhile, the new CIA director, John Ratcliffe, is really into this. First day on the job, he’s like, “Figuring this out is my top priority!” Bro, do your family and friends know how seriously you take this? He’s been saying for years, “I’m convinced it came from a lab!” Okay, cool, but can we get the CIA to be a little less… vibey and a little more evidence-based?

And here’s the fun part—this shift wasn’t sudden. The previous CIA director told analysts, “You need to take a stance on COVID origins.” But then immediately followed up with, “I don’t care which one you pick.” That’s like your mom saying, “You HAVE to get married, but I don’t care who you choose.”

And let’s talk about the confidence level of this new assessment. The CIA is saying their findings are of low confidence. So basically, “We’re not sure… but we kinda think it’s this one.” That’s like a doctor telling you, “You might have the flu… or maybe you don’t.”

And the intelligence community? Divided. Five agencies think COVID came from animals—but with low confidence.Meanwhile, the FBI and Department of Energy think it was a lab leak—but they can’t agree on which lab. FBI points to the Wuhan Institute of Virology, DOE says “Nah, it’s probably the Wuhan CDC.” That’s like two detectives arguing:

Detective 1: “The killer is Mr. Wang!”
Detective 2: “No! It’s his nephew!
But guess what? The body is still missing.

So what’s the CIA’s plan now? Be more aggressive. They might order more intelligence operations to infiltrate Chinese labs. Sounds like an action movie, right? But even American officials admit—“Stealing that secret is gonna be really tough.” Apparently, even the Chinese government doesn’t want to know the truth. So the real mystery here isn’t just where COVID came from, but who actually cares enough to find out!

At the end of the day, intelligence officials say that both theories—natural origin and lab leak—are possible, but neither has definitive proof. It’s like a true crime podcast where the host keeps saying, “We may never know.”

So what do we do now? Keep waiting, I guess. But in the meantime—wash your hands, wear a mask if needed, and don’t take the CIA’s confidence level too seriously!

Thanks, everybody! Stay safe out there!

 


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