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《歐美石化協議》與全球貨幣體系的未來
送交者: 孞烎Archer 2025年03月14日18:16:58 於 [天下論壇] 發送悄悄話

The U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement and the Future of the Global Monetary System

《歐美石化協議》與全球貨幣體系的未來

By Archer Hong Qian

 

新聞:拜登在俄羅斯侵略烏克蘭之後達到了的緊急令,允許俄羅斯能源銀行糾正,為方便歐洲各國採購俄羅斯能源時的付款。緊急緊急於今天中午2025年3月12日開始。川普剛剛拒絕了歐盟國家對這項緊急協議的請求:3月12日起,歐洲不再能夠合法購買俄羅斯的石油和天然氣來資助資助的戰爭機器了。

 

但是,石化能源畢竟是歐洲的剛需,俄羅斯斷油、斷氣之後,誰來填補空白?當然是美國,或者說北美!這就是我為什麼提出簽訂《歐美石化協議》建議的原因之一。

 

而且,今天一早醒來,我就想:《烏美礦產協議》只是一種局部謀略,遠不具備戰略意義!當然,這也是無奈之舉,包括那個拜登簽署延長的“俄羅斯金融機構包括俄羅斯中央銀行進行能源交易許可證”(美東3月12日到期),也是一種無奈的謀略!

 

大國不尚謀略,基於融入多重戰略、戰術、謀略、策略的大戰略思維,我想,燈塔美麗國總統:最好是在簽訂《歐美石化協議》基礎上,重啟並擴充《環大西洋公約》(Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership,TTIP)談判,這樣,就和“印太戰略”連接起來,再加入《全面與進步跨太平洋夥伴關係協定》(Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership,簡稱CPTPP),便形成一個完全不同於聯合國安全框架的真正的有效率而公義的“全球性經濟安全架構”就建立起來了! https://x.com/messages/media/1900386154362634427

 

 

 

現在,我想接着《從<烏美礦產協議>綁定,到<歐美石化協議>開局——美國總統遭遇了一個哈姆雷特王子式難題!怎麼辦?》,單獨談談與此相關的“全球貨幣體系的未來”。

 

歐美石化協議:鞏固美元儲備貨幣地位的重要一環

 

《歐美石化協議》不僅是川普政府能源戰略的高效展開,更是兌現其20項核心承諾之一——即“保持美元作為世界儲備貨幣的國際地位”的重要支柱。

 

這項協議涵蓋能源、原材料和國際結算,必然會對美元的全球儲備貨幣地位產生深遠影響。長期以來,石油和大宗商品交易一直是美元全球霸權的支柱。通過這一協議,美國將在全球能源貿易中強化美元的主導結算地位,這正契合川普政府的承諾,即確保美元繼續占據全球金融體系的核心。

 

歐美石化協議與“去美元化”迷思

 

近年來,“去美元化”被一些國家和媒體炒作為全球趨勢,然而這實際上是一個被放大的偽命題。全球經濟的本質在於效率和信任,而當前,美元仍然是全球流動性最強、信用最穩定、制度最健全的貨幣。

 

即便一些國家嘗試推動本幣結算或建立區域性貨幣聯盟,這些舉措更多是基於貿易便利性和短期風險對沖的需求,而非真正意圖取代美元。《歐美石化協議》的實施,將進一步證明美元在國際貿易和金融體系中不可撼動的地位,並削弱“去美元化”聲音的影響力。

 

川普政府強調“保持美元作為世界儲備貨幣”,並非單純依賴金融霸權,而是基於美元在全球經濟中的交互主體地位。美元不僅僅是一個貨幣單位,它已經與全球資源、技術、市場、交易、規則深度綁定。《歐美石化協議》如果成功落地,將進一步強化美元在全球能源定價和結算體系中的核心地位,使其成為全球金融生態不可替代的穩定器。

 

超主權貨幣與全球金融生態的交互演進

 

十年前,我曾在《試論超主權貨幣的哲學-經濟學基礎——一切皆為約定:共生權-共生幣-共生鏈》一文中,探討了2009年倫敦G20峰會前夕,俄羅斯政府和中國央行行長周小川分別提出的“超國家儲備貨幣”(Super-national reserve currency)和“超主權儲備貨幣”(Super-sovereign reserve currency)的構想。

 

雖然這些概念並未成為解決全球經濟問題的現實方案,但它們揭示了一個真正的開放性議題:

 

在“產業鏈、供應鏈、價值鏈”的全球交互共生趨勢推動下,未來的世界規則將趨向“零關稅、零壁壘、零歧視”,超主權儲備貨幣的設想,反映了高度公平性、客觀性和交互性的全球金融需求,並具有極大的公約性和公信力。

 

基於此,我提出:所有國際化的貨幣,包括數字貨幣、加密貨幣、穩定幣,本質上都是“共生幣”(Symbiotic Token)的概念。

 

 

這一概念不僅為未來的貨幣體系提供了新的評判標準,也預見了數字貨幣、加密貨幣和穩定幣在全球經濟中的共生關係,強調了不同類型的數字資產在共享基礎設施和金融生態系統中的交互協同作用。

 

數字貨幣、加密貨幣與共生幣的演進

 

在區塊鏈領域,貨幣形式可分為原生幣和代幣:

 

✅ 原生幣(Native Coins)——如 比特幣(BTC)、以太坊(ETH)、泰達幣(USDT)、幣安幣(BNB)、索拉納(SOL)、狗狗幣(DOGE)、美元幣(USDC)、瑞波幣(XRP)、波場幣(TRX)等,作為區塊鏈網絡的基礎貨幣,主要用於交易和價值存儲。

 

✅ 代幣(Tokens)——基於區塊鏈平台,通過智能合約創建,服務於特定應用、去中心化金融(DeFi)、NFT市場等。

 

近年來,隨着區塊鏈技術的成熟,全球主要企業開始整合加密貨幣支付系統,提高交易效率,同時,隨着各國Trust監管框架的完善——逐步過渡到“愛之智慧孞態網”(Amorsophia MindsNetworking),也正在為加密貨幣市場帶來更高的穩定性和合法性。

 

共生幣在孞態網(MindsNetworking)基礎設施中的價值機制

 

隨着孞態網(MindsNetworking)技術倫理基礎設施的逐步建立,共生幣不僅是金融交易的工具,更將承載良善或邪惡孞念價值獎懲機制的核心角色。在這一體系下,共生幣可以成為獎抑“一念天堂,一念地獄”(One Mind Heaven,one Mind Hell)機制:

 

✅ 激勵良善行為——通過透明化、可追蹤的機制,對推動社會共生、科技倫理和生態可持續發展的行為給予正向獎勵。

 

✅ 抑制邪惡孞念——構建一個基於集體智慧評估的共生信用體系,使任何試圖破壞社會共生、濫用金融系統或技術倫理的行為受到相應制約。

 

✅ 優化全球信任體系——在孞態網基礎設施的支持下,共生幣將在全球範圍內形成一個更加公開、公正、可信的信用體系,推動人類社會的健康發展。

 

共生幣、傳統貨幣與全球金融體系的未來

 

將所有上述貨幣形式視為“共生幣”,強調了它們在全球金融體系中的相互依存的共生關係。傳統國際化貨幣的信用穩定性和獨立管理,為數字貨幣提供了價值基礎,數字貨幣為金融創新和包容性金融提供了新路徑,穩定幣則在兩者之間架起橋梁。這種交互主體共生態勢推動了全球金融生態的持續演進。

 

✅ 傳統國際化貨幣的信用穩定性——美元、歐元等法定貨幣的核心價值在於高度信用穩定性和獨立管理機制,確保了貨幣政策的穩定性,這也是美元全球儲備貨幣地位的根本。

 

✅ 數字貨幣與傳統貨幣的共生關係——加密貨幣依賴法定貨幣的計價體系,其穩定性與流動性仍然受傳統金融體系的影響。

 

✅ 穩定幣的橋梁作用——如 USDT(泰達幣),通過1:1錨定美元,在加密貨幣市場中提供穩定的交易媒介,促進傳統金融與數字資產的融合。

 

✅ 共生幣的未來趨勢——未來的全球貨幣體系將更加去中心化、多元化、透明化,實現傳統貨幣、數字貨幣、穩定幣、代幣交互主體共生的價值承兌關鍵憑證。

 

因此,歐美石化協議的落地,不僅關乎美元的儲備貨幣地位,還將進一步推動全球金融體系進入一個共生演化的新時代。更重要的是,在孞態網(MindsNetworking)技術倫理基礎設施建成後,共生幣將不僅是經濟工具,更是取代現行諸多顯赫Trust(如政府、銀行)組織平台,成為監督和推動愛之智慧、社會正義、技術倫理和人類交互主體共生生活方式的可靠媒介。

 

2025年3月9日深夜於Vancouver

 

什麼是比特幣?

比特幣於2009年以化名中本聰(Satoshi Nakamoto)創立,是一種僅在網上交易的數字貨幣。它使用一種名為區塊鏈的技術,允許每筆比特幣交易存儲在全球數千台計算機上,被稱為“公共記錄”,因此幾乎不可能被黑客入侵。每台計算機都存儲了曾經進行過的每筆交易,這些交易被稱為節點。當世界上任何地方發生新的加密貨幣交易時,每個節點都會更新其“公共記錄”。由於區塊鏈的去中心化性質,沒有一台計算機可以控制數據。

參考:http://symbiosism.com.cn/9644.html;http://www.symbiosism.org

 

 

The U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement and the Future of the Global Monetary System

 

By Archer Hong Qian

 

Building on the discussion in “From the U.S.-Ukraine Mineral Agreement to the U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement: The President of the United States Faces a Hamlet-like Dilemma—What Should Be Done?”, I would like to focus exclusively on a related issue: the future of the global monetary system.

The U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement: A Key Step in Strengthening the U.S. Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status

The U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement is not only a highly effective expansion of the Trump administration’s energy strategy but also a critical component of fulfilling Trump’s 20 core commitments—specifically, the pledge to “maintain the U.S. dollar’s position as the world’s reserve currency.”

This agreement, covering energy, raw materials, and international settlements, will inevitably have a profound impact on the dollar’s status as the global reserve currency. For decades, oil and commodity transactions have been pillars of U.S. financial dominance. Through this agreement, the United States will reinforce the dollar’s role as the dominant currency in global energy trade, aligning perfectly with Trump’s promise to ensure that the dollar remains at the center of the global financial system.

The U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement and the “De-Dollarization” Myth

In recent years, "de-dollarization" has been sensationalized as a global trend by some countries and media outlets. However, this narrative is an exaggerated fallacy.

The global economy is fundamentally driven by efficiency and trust. At present, the U.S. dollar remains the most liquid, stable, and well-regulated currency in the world.

Even though certain countries experiment with local currency settlements or form regional currency alliances, these measures are primarily aimed at trade convenience and short-term risk hedging rather than any real effort to replace the dollar.

The implementation of the U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement will further prove the dollar’s irreplaceable role in international trade and finance, while weakening the influence of “de-dollarization” rhetoric.

Trump’s commitment to preserving the dollar’s global reserve currency status is not merely about maintaining financial hegemony. Rather, it reflects the dollar’s deep-rooted role as an interactive subject in the global economy.

The dollar is not just a unit of exchange; it is interwoven with global resources, technology, markets, transactions, and regulations. If successfully implemented, the U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement will further entrench the dollar’s central role in global energy pricing and settlements, cementing its function as an irreplaceable stabilizer in the global financial ecosystem.

Super-Sovereign Currency and the Interactive Evolution of the Global Financial System

A decade ago, in my article “On the Philosophical and Economic Foundations of Super-Sovereign Currency—Everything is an Agreement: Symbiotic Rights, Symbiotic Currency, Symbiotic Chain”, I explored the concepts of “Super-National Reserve Currency” and “Super-Sovereign Reserve Currency” as proposed by the Russian government and People’s Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan on the eve of the 2009 London G20 Summit.

Although these ideas did not materialize into concrete solutions for global economic challenges, they opened a truly thought-provoking question:

As global supply chains, industrial chains, and value chains continue their trend toward interactive symbiosis, the world’s financial rules are gradually shifting toward a "zero-tariff, zero-barrier, zero-discrimination" model. The concept of a super-sovereign reserve currency reflects a highly fair, objective, and interactive global financial demand, possessing great contractual legitimacy and credibility.

Based on this, I propose that all internationally recognized currencies—including digital currencies, cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins—are essentially forms of “Symbiotic Currency” (Symbiotic Token).

This concept not only establishes a new evaluation framework for the future monetary system but also foresees the symbiotic relationships among digital currencies, cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins in the global economy. It highlights the interactive collaboration of different digital assets within shared infrastructure and financial ecosystems.

The Evolution of Digital Currencies, Cryptocurrencies, and Symbiotic Currency

In the blockchain sector, currencies are categorized into native coins and tokens:

Native Coins – Such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Tether (USDT), Binance Coin (BNB), Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), USD Coin (USDC), Ripple (XRP), and TRON (TRX). These serve as the foundational cryptocurrencies of blockchain networks, primarily used for transactions and value storage.

Tokens – Created through smart contracts on existing blockchain platforms, used in specific applications, decentralized finance (DeFi), and the NFT market.

In recent years, global corporations have been integrating cryptocurrency payment systems to enhance transaction efficiency. Additionally, as national regulatory frameworks gradually shift toward "Amorsophia MindsNetworking" (愛之智慧孞態網)—a next-generation trust and ethics infrastructure—the cryptocurrency market is steadily gaining greater stability and legitimacy.

The Role of Symbiotic Currency in the MindsNetworking Infrastructure

As MindsNetworking (孞態網) establishes a new technological and ethical infrastructure, Symbiotic Currency will evolve beyond a mere financial transaction tool—it will also serve as the core mechanism for rewarding and penalizing virtuous or malevolent thought processes.

In this system, Symbiotic Currency will embody the principle of “One Mind Heaven, One Mind Hell”, meaning that:

Virtuous Actions Are Rewarded – Using transparent, traceable mechanisms, actions that promote social symbiosis, technological ethics, and ecological sustainability will be positively incentivized.

Malevolent Thoughts Are Suppressed – A symbiotic credit system, based on collective wisdom evaluation, will hold accountable those who attempt to disrupt social symbiosis, exploit financial systems, or violate technological ethics.

Global Trust Systems Are Optimized – Supported by the MindsNetworking infrastructure, Symbiotic Currency will form a globally open, fair, and credible credit system, facilitating the healthy advancement of human society.

The Future of Symbiotic Currency, Traditional Currency, and the Global Financial System

By recognizing all forms of currency as Symbiotic Currency, we emphasize their interdependence within the global financial system.

The Stability of Traditional International Currencies – The fundamental value of the U.S. dollar, euro, and other fiat currencies lies in their high credit stability and independent governance, ensuring monetary policy stability—which is the bedrock of the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency.

The Symbiosis Between Digital and Traditional Currencies – Cryptocurrencies remain pegged to fiat currency valuation, and their stability and liquidity are still influenced by the traditional financial system.

Stablecoins as a Bridge – Stablecoins like Tether (USDT), which are pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollar, act as stable transaction mediums, promoting integration between traditional finance and digital assets.

The Future of Symbiotic Currency – The global monetary system is moving toward decentralization, diversification, and transparency, where traditional currency, digital currency, stablecoins, and tokens coalesce into an interactive symbiotic value exchange ecosystem.

Conclusion: The U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement as a Catalyst for the Symbiotic Evolution of Global Finance

The implementation of the U.S.-Europe Petrochemical Agreement is not just about maintaining the U.S. dollar’s dominance—it will also accelerate the symbiotic evolution of the global financial system.

More importantly, as MindsNetworking’s technological and ethical infrastructure matures, Symbiotic Currency will transcend its economic function—it will replace many current high-profile trust organizations (such as governments and banks), becoming a reliable medium for supervising and advancing Love Wisdom, social justice, technological ethics, and the global symbiotic way of life.

March 9, 2025 – Late Night, Vancouver

 

 

錢 宏主編:《全球共生:化解衝突重建世界秩序的中國學派》Global Symbiosism: Chinese School of Defusing Clashes and Rebuilding the World Order,台灣晨星出版社,2018

作者聯繫方式:[email protected];+1 604 690 6088


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