"Blockade Taiwan" where? The Chinese fleet currently have to pass close to land to go anywhere outside their own seas, but from Taiwan it's clear blue water all the way to Hawaii.
Somewhere between jellyfish and mouse, because there lies the level of neural connectivity required for neural processes to observe and predict the interactions between other high level neural processes, to integrate the information about the "self".
So if it's about the level of sophistication of the machinery, and the conscious machinery arose out of matter that was not previously considered conscious, why does it matter if it's organic neurons or silicon?
In other words, if conciousness arose somewhere between a jellyfish and a mouse, why can't the same be said between a perceptron and an LLM?
It can be said, but whether it is true requires that the invariants of consciousness are satisfied by the LLM. Until those in variants are well defined any such claim will be subjective at best.
Russia is a gas station that can't sell gas. It is being bankrupted. They can't make stuff without German engineers repairing their German machinery. Russia might not last the year. Look at their own ministry of finance budget numbers.
To my way of thinking, when a vote comes down to a margin that narrow, something else is seriously wrong. Frankly, democracy is probably not the right model when that kind of polarization is present.
There's a term that applied in other fields to large-scale systems that are that incredibly sensitive to their input parameters: chaos.