Scott is a lot more accessible and engaging as a writer and did a lot to turn SSC/ACX into a platform for other like-minded bloggers. Gwern’s content is a lot more niche and he’s also less consistent with his output, but what he does put up is great. I don’t think anyone reads Yud anymore - all of his best writing was 10+ years ago and nowadays he’s a furry mascot for the scene who occasionally engages in apocalyptic screeching
Yandex Search is decent, but over-indexed on Russian content. They’ve also suffered major brain drain since the war began so I don’t expect them to keep up with the AI arms race.
Not clear how to deal with this either - you can improve authentication but it won’t prevent the properly auth’ed users from running LLMs. You can watermark the output of officially vended LLMs (Scott Aaronson seems to be working on that) but nothing is gonna prevent people from running non-watermarked versions
Its basically too late, as soon as one rich person decides to train a model and dump it, it's game over. I feel we might actually be experiencing the last months of an internet where you can expect to be talking to a real human on the internet.
Every year the cost of training these models drops so they won't be out of reach for long.
Eh, Armenia losing its war wasn't particularly detrimental to the Russian interests in the Transcaucasia - if anything it helped bring Pashinyan back into the fold, as evidenced by him embracing CSTO during the Kazakh unrest.
Minsk is also hardly "swallowed by protests" right now, they've succeeded in driving all resistance back underground.
I agree that the post-Soviet world is in a bit of a crisis but it's not particularly more crisisy than normal. Putin's just getting older.
Fair enough. I do think taken together, and the observation that absent Moscow's military support Minsk and new Almaty could have gone quite differently, they would be worrying to someone in Putin's shoes.
Deploying the Russian army to Kazakhstan is much less risky than deploying it in Moscow. A small shift in the balance of power and the guns are aimed at you.
That said, we in the West have a long history of overcomplicating the Kremlin's thinking. Perhaps he is just going senile.
That line doesn't mean anything - should we make any type of computation that contributes to a pyramid scheme illegal? How do you even define a pyramid scheme in a way that doesn't also cover traditional financial institutions and academia?
