Jonathan's Space Report
No. 361                               1998 May 24 Cambridge, MA
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Shuttle and Mir
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Launch of the Station seems to be slipping further, with a probable
delay of STS-88 to December according to news reports. This would push
STS-93 to January according to the AP report.

Progress M-39 remains docked to the Mir orbital complex, and the crew
are unloading it. STS-91 is on the pad, ready for the final US trip to
Mir. In addition to Andrew Thomas, much of the US scientific equipment
aboard Mir will also be brought home.

For mission STS-91, Discovery's payload bay has a new configuration.
Forward in the bay is the external airlock and docking system. Behind
this is the tunnel adapter, which on most earlier missions was between
the docking system and the main cabin. Behind the tunnel adapter is the
Spacehab tunnel, followed by a single Spacehab module. The Spacehab
module carries water, food, and equipment for Mir. Further aft in the
payload bay is the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer. This particle physics
experiment uses a new cross-bay carrier, containing a large (3000 kg)
magnet and scintillator detectors which will be used in a search for
antiprotons and antinuclei in cosmic rays.

Eight GAS canisters are also installed in the payload bay. Bay 6 port
has SEM-3, with high school experiments, and an inert canister
containing commemorative flags. Bay 6 starboard has G-648 (Canadian
space agency organic thin films experiment) and another canister of
flags. Bay 13 port has G-765 (Canadian space agency fluids experiment)
and SEM-5 (high school passive experiments). Bay 13 starboard has two
small size (2.5-cubic foot) containers, G-090 and G-743.

Recent Launches
---------------

HGS-1 completed its first lunar flyby on May 13, and returned to a
perigee of about 36000 km at about 0300 UTC on May 17. HGS has decided
to send the satellite on a second lunar flyby on Jun 6 to further
improve the orbit. Current orbit is 35646 km x 475763 km x 18.2 deg.

Galaxy 4H, a Hughes HS-601 satellite, failed on May 19, disrupting pager
services across the United States. A computer failure resulted in loss
of attitude control. Ku-band traffic is being transferred to Galaxy 3R,
while Galaxy 6 is being moved to the Galaxy 4H orbital position to
replace its C-band coverage.

Echostar 4 has reportedly had problems deploying its solar panels.


Orbits
-------

The following discussion is for technically oriented pedants only.

There's been a lot of discussion lately about the exact definitions of
varous kinds of orbit: what is the difference between Low Earth Orbit
(LEO) and Medium Earth Orbit (MEO)? There's no right answer, since these
names are arbitrary. I have my own definitions, which I give below. The
boundaries I use are motivated by the physical boundaries in the
atmosphere and by historical practice.

 My proposed definitions:

(1)  Atmospheric (ATM):     suborbital trajectory with apogee less than
80 km (mean height of the mesopause, and same as old USAF definition of
50 miles for astronaut wings)

(2)  Suborbital spaceflight (SO): suborbital trajectory with apogee more
than 80 km.

(3)  Transatmospheric orbit (TAO): orbital flight with perigee less than
80 km but  more than zero. Potentially used by aerobraking missions and
transatmospheric vehicles, also in some temporary phases of orbital
flight (e.g. STS pre OMS-2, some failures when no apogee restart)

(4)  LEO: Low Earth Orbit. Orbits with perigee above 80 km and apogee
less than L km. It's not clear what the value of L should be. A
histogram of apogee heights for objects currently in orbit shows a big
peak from 100 km to about 2500 km, followed by an almost empty region,
followed by a small peak at 19000 km (GLONASS and GPS) and another peak
at 36000 km (GEO). Why are there so few satellites in the 3000 - 19000
km range? It's because of the radiation belts. Of course polar orbit
satellites pass through the radiation belts even at low altitude (the
magnetosphere dips into the auroral circle). But at 3000 km and up you
pass through the belts at all latitudes. What is the lower level of the
radiation belts? I'm still researching this. However, if you look at the
apogee histogram in more detail, you see that the lower orbit satellites
have two broad peaks: one from 300 km to 1300km peaking at 800-1000 km;
and another at 1300-2200 km peaking at 1500 km. This analysis is
compromised by the fact that the histogram may be dominated by debris
objects from a small number of explosions; it would be better to plot
payloads only. Redoing the analysis with only international designations
"A" and "B" (e.g. 1997-04B, but not 1997-04F) gives a similar result
but with narrower peaks. In particular, there are very few payloads or
rocket stages with apogees in the 1100 to 1400 km or 1600 to 2000 km
ranges. I therefore suggest that the LEO/MEO boundary value L should be
set at either:

 apogee 1000 km, a round number definition which would exclude the large
   number of satellites in the 1000-1100 km range including Parus/Tsikada and
   Transit navsats. I think 1000 km is a little too low to exclude.
 apogee 1100 km, a strict definition of LEO
 apogee 1600 km, a definition including Globalstar and Strela/Gonets and older ESSA/NOAA
          polar satellites
 apogee 2000 km, a safe 'round number' definition including all LEO
          payloads and debris objects.
 period 120 minutes ( 2 hours ). Another 'round number'.
   This has an average height of 1680 km and a maximum apogee of 3280 km.

With the 2000 km or 2 hr definitions, MEO (Medium Earth Orbit) would be the relatively
unpopulated region between LEO and the geosynch corridor, which contains
the Glonass and GPS satellites and the old Midas early warning sats,
and not much else. I have decided to use the 2 hr definition, but I suspect
that the industry may end up using something toward the lower end, say
the 1100 km definition.

I consider several subcategories of LEO sorted by inclination. The physically
motivated one is LEO/S or SSO:  Sun Synchronous orbit, when the orbital plane
precesses to keep the same sun angle. This requires a period (hh:min) of 
  T =  3:47 * ( - cos i )** (3/7)  +/- 0:10, for i = 97.0 - 103.0 degrees.
It's probably good enough to use a less strict but simpler definition of SSO:
LEO/S  Sun Synch     T =  1:26 - 2:00, i = 95.0 - 104.0
One might also usefully define
LEO/R  Retrograde:   T =  1:26 - 2:00, i = 104.0 - 180.0
LEO/P  Polar:        T =  1:26 - 2:00, i =  85.0 -  95.0
LEO/E  Equatorial    T =  1:26 - 2:00, i =   0.0 -  20.0

Of course technically `retrograde' is anything with i more than 90.0 degrees,
but one is more likely to refer to orbits with i below 104 deg as polar or
sun-synchronous.

The next boundary of interest is between MEO and the 'geosynchronous
corridor'. To study the geosynchronous corridor, it's most helpful to
work in orbital period and consider drift rates. For a pure equatorial
orbit, non-Keplerian perturbations introduce drifts of order 0.05
degrees per day. These dominate Keplerian drift in longitude if the
period is roughly between 23h 55.5m and 23h 56.5 min. I call this
'geostationary orbit'. Satellites which are still operational but are
being moved from one slot to another usually are drifting at between 0.1
and 10 degrees per day. I find the 10 degree per day drift rate one
convenient boundary, corresponding to periods from 23h 17m to 24h 37m
(that's what I used to use in my geo.log file). An alternative criterion
is to make a period cut from 23h to 25h: 1 hour either side of the
geosynch period. 


MEO is then everything vaguely circular below 23 hours and above LEO.
Objects which are in elliptical orbits and with MEO-type orbital
periods, I call HEO (highly elliptical orbits). A special case of HEO is
the Molniya orbit, with inclination 63 degrees and period 12 hours,
giving zero perigee precession and an apogee stabilized in longitude
every other orbit. Another special case is geostationary transfer orbit
(GTO), subclasses of which I defined in JSR 310 back in Jan 1997
(included in the summary table below).

I now use personal definitions as follows:

                    Period (hh:mm)     Inc (deg)    Ecc

Three with the synchronous period:

GEO/S  Stationary      23:55.5 - 23:56.5  0.0 - 2.0   0.00 - 0.01
 (the good stuff, circular and equatorial)

GEO/I  Inclined GEO    23:55.5 - 23.56.5  0.0 - 2.0   0.01-0.05
                   and 23:55.5 - 23.56.5  2.0 - 20.0  0.00-0.05
 (still circular and somewhat equatorial)

GEO/T  Synchronous     23:55.5 - 23.56.5  0 - 20.0      0.05 - 0.85
                   and 23:55.5 - 23.56.5  20.0-180.0    0.00 - 0.85
 (synchronous but not circular equatorial)

The corresponding three cases with periods not equal to the magic one:

GEO/D  Drift GEO       23:00   - 25:00    0.0 - 2.0   0.00 - 0.05
GEO/ID Inc. Drift GEO  23:00   - 25:00    2.0 - 20.0  0.00 - 0.05
GEO/NS Near-Sync       23:00   - 25:00    0 - 180     0.05 - 0.85
                   and 23:00   - 25:00    20 - 180    0.00 - 0.85


Rather than High Earth Orbit (too easily confused with Highly Elliptical
Orbit) I use Deep Space Orbit (DSO), for anything circular above GEO,
and Deep Highly Eccentric Orbit (DHEO) for elliptical deep orbits.

Finally, I summarize the categories I am suggesting in the table below.
If you would like to propose alternative definitions, please forward
them to me.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Orbit Classification Summary 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(A = apogee/km, P = perigee/km, T = period/hh:mm, i = inc/deg, e = eccentricity)

Main categories
ATM   Atmospheric   A < 80
SO    Suborbital    A >= 80, P < 0
TAO   Trans-Atm     A >= 80, P = 0 - 80
LEO   Low           T= 1:26   -  2:00 (P>80)
MEO   Medium        T= 2:00   - 23:00, e < 0.5
HEO   Highly Ellip  T= 4:03   - 23:00, e > 0.5 (implies A > 13000)
GEO   Near-Synch    T=23:00   - 25:00    
DSO   Deep Space    T>25:00, e < 0.5
DHEO Deep Eccentric T>25:00, e > 0.5
HCO   Heliocentric  
PCO   Planetocentric
SSE   Solar System Escape

Subcategories
LEO/S  Sun Synch      T =  1:26 - 2:00, i= 95.0 - 104.0
LEO/R  Retrograde:    T =  1:26 - 2:00, i= 104.0 - 180.0
LEO/P  Polar:         T =  1:26 - 2:00, i=  85.0 -  95.0
LEO/E  Equatorial     T =  1:26 - 2:00, i=   0.0 -  20.0
HEO/M:  Molniya orbit T = 11:30 - 12:30, i= 62.0 - 64.0,  e= 0.50 - 0.77
GEO/S  Stationary     T= 23:55.5 - 23:56.5,i= 0.0 - 2.0   0.00 - 0.01
GEO/I  Inclined GEO   T= 23:55.5 - 23.56.5,i= 0.0 - 20.0  0.00 - 0.05
GEO/T  Synchronous    T= 23:55.5 - 23.56.5,i= 0 - 180     0.00 - 0.85
GEO/D  Drift GEO      T=23:00   - 25:00  i=  0.0 - 2.0,   e= 0.00 - 0.05 
GEO/ID Inc. Drift GEO T=23:00   - 25:00  i=  0.0 - 20.0,  e= 0.00 - 0.05
GEO/NS Near-Sync      T=23:00   - 25:00  i=  0 - 180,     e= 0.00 - 0.85

GTO subclasses of HEO, from JSR 310
GTO/L  Low GTO        A = 13000 - 30000
GTO/S  Sub-GTO        A = 30000 - 41000
GTO    Std GTO        P = 150 - 700, A = 34000 - 41000, 
GTO/HP High Peri. GTO P = 700- 4000, A = 34000 - 41000, 
GTO/H  High GTO       A > 41000
(Super-GTO now superseded by GTO/H and DHEO as appropriate)

Table of Recent Launches
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Date UT       Name            Launch Vehicle  Site            Mission    INTL.
                                                                          DES.

Apr  2 0242   TRACE             Pegasus XL    Vandenberg RW30/15 Solar obs. 20A
Apr  7 0213   Iridium 62        Proton-K/DM2  Baykonur          Comsat     21A
              Iridium 63                                        Comsat     21B
              Iridium 64                                        Comsat     21C
              Iridium 65                                        Comsat     21D
              Iridium 66                                        Comsat     21E
              Iridium 67                                        Comsat     21F
              Iridium 68                                        Comsat     21G
Apr 17 1819   Columbia   )      Shuttle       Kennedy LC39B     Spaceship  22A
              Neurolab   )
Apr 24 2238   Globalstar FM6)   Delta 7420    Canaveral SLC17A  Comsat     23A
              Globalstar FM8)                                              23B
              Globalstar FM14)                                             23C
              Globalstar FM15)                                             23D
Apr 28 2253   Nilesat 1  )      Ariane 44P    Kourou ELA2       Comsat     24A
              BSAT 1B    )                                      Comsat     24B
Apr 29 0437   Kosmos-2350       Proton-K/DM-2 Baykonur          Comsat?    25A
May  2 0916   Iridium 69        CZ-2C/SD      Taiyuan           Comsat     26A
              Iridium 71                                        Comsat     26B
May  7 0853   Kosmos-2351       Molniya-M     Plesetsk          Early Warn 27A
May  7 2345   Echostar 4        Proton-K/DM3  Baykonur          Comsat     28A
May  9 0138   USA 139           Titan Centaur Canaveral SLC40   Sigint     29A
May 13 1552   NOAA 15           Titan 2       Vandenberg SLC4W  Weather    30A
May 14 2212   Progress M-39     Soyuz-U       Baykonur LC1      Cargo      31A
May 17 2116   Iridium 70)       Delta 7920    Vandenberg SLC2W  Comsat     32A
              Iridium 72)                                       Comsat     32B
              Iridium 73)                                       Comsat     32C
              Iridium 74)                                       Comsat     32D
              Iridium 75)                                       Comsat     32E
                                                                         
Current Shuttle Processing Status
__________________________________

Orbiters               Location   Mission    Launch Due

OV-102 Columbia        OPF Bay 3     STS-93  Jan ?
OV-103 Discovery       LC39A         STS-91  Jun 2
OV-104 Atlantis        Palmdale      OMDP
OV-105 Endeavour       OPF Bay 1     STS-88  Dec 3


MLP/SRB/ET/OV stacks
              
MLP1/RSRM66/ET-96/OV-103 LC39A       STS-91
MLP2/
MLP3/
              


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|  Jonathan McDowell                 |  phone : (617) 495-7176            |
|  Harvard-Smithsonian Center for    |                                    |
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