Forecasting and Product Allocation Process: of LG-Butterfly Marketing Limited.
Forecasting and Product Allocation Process: of LG-Butterfly Marketing Limited.
Internship Report
On
Submitted By:
BRAC University
Dear Sir,
Therefore I sincerely hope that you will appreciate my effort and I shall be grateful if my report is
accepted for the appropriate purpose.
Yours Sincerely,
At first I would like to thank my honorable internship supervisor from BRAC Business School
(BBS), BRAC University, Md. Tamzidul Islam for providing me such an opportunity to prepare
an Internship Report on “forecasting and product allocation process of LG- Butterfly Marketing
Limited”.
I would like to place my gratitude to Mr. K. M Musaddeque Ullah Munna, Manager (Product,
Training & ISM) of LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited, enable me to complete my internship in their
esteemed organization.
During my preparation of the project work I have come to very supportive touch of different
individuals (respondents from LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited) & friends who lend their ideas,
time & caring guidance to amplify the report’s contents. I want to convey my heartiest gratitude
to them for their valuable responses.
Topic Pages
1. Executive Summary 1
1.2. History 4
1.3. Management 4
1.6. Organgram 9
3.1.2. Methodology 16
3.1.3. Limitations 17
3.2. What is Forecasting and Allocation? 17
Chapter4 : Conclusion 36
Chapter7 : Recommendation 37
Executive Summary
LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited is a one of the largest Bangladeshi industrial conglomerate. This
contributes to growth in national economy of Bangladesh. To bring efficiency and effectiveness
LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited established supply chain management department in 2011.
During that period supply chain management department only control distribution. From 2013
procurement, inventory, production, planning, distribution, depot management administer by
supply chain management department, to minimize the cost and maximize the profit. To
achieve its vision LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited gradually changes their traditional system
to upgrading system. Though it is quite difficult to adapt the new system among the employee, they
should train them in where they are lack behind. In spite of lack behind in few areas, because of
SCM they able to provide superior value to their customer. SCM department did tremendous
performance during the unstable political situation. As an example for the period of strike, they
use rail and cargo trailer to ensure smooth delivery process and instead of day they deliver
product at night to the party end from depot in 2013. Throughout the Bangladesh they established
11 depots under SCM department and increase 67 % by value through increase sales order. In
some cases if they able to adapt with the change in SCM, then LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited
SCM will be the model for Bangladeshi electronics Industry.
1
The Organization
LG’s home country is KOREA. It has also a fascinating market in Bangladesh. In the last year
LG’s sales was BDT 1500 crore only in BANGLADESH. In BANGLADESH LG have 125
showrooms. From which 30 showrooms are only in the capital city DHAKA which are going quite
smoothly. LG is hoping to increase the number of showrooms soon. In BANGLADESH LG is
working as a joint venture with BUTTERFLY. In the last year LG was 4th in tax paying
organization in BANGLADESH. SO, as a whole LG is working as a very profitable organization
which is maintaining the rules and regulation of BANGLADESH government.
2
GENERAL information
CORPORATE HISTORY:
This marketing company sales consumer goods like television, fridge, air condition, DVD, oven,
rice cooker, washing machine, sound system, computer, sewing machine and other consumer goods
with the help of distributors of their own establishment of the company.
3
1.2 History:
Butterfly Group’s first venture Butterfly Marketing Limited was founded in 1987. Having started
with only 3 retail outlets, Butterfly was quick to create a strong place in the customers’ minds
through its first successful product Butterfly sewing machine – a symbol of the ‘emerging middle
class’ in the late 80s. In 1995, Butterfly went through a major rebranding initiative when LG came
into the picture as an affiliate after awarding the company with its distribution rights. In the same
year, the company was made into a public company with other major expansion taking place.
Additionally, the company studied the purchase decision making process and payment behavior of
various customer groups and found that a significant portion of the market aspires technological
advancement in their daily life, yet unable to pay for it upfront. The hire-purchase scheme was well
received with multiplying the customer base within a very short time. Since 2001 Butterfly has
been maintaining the top position in consumer electronics in Bangladesh.
Having operated in the consumer electronics retailing for 25 years as Butterfly Marketing Ltd, the
Group has opted for backward integration in 2012, through the inception of Butterfly Limited,
Butterfly Manufacturing Ltd and Butterfly Industries Ltd. These state-of-the-art manufacturing
facilities are established with the strategic alliance with LG and Hisense - two top performing
global brands. A number of models for LED TVs, Refrigerators and Air Conditioners for these
brands are produced at these facilities today.
1.3 Management
The company has in its Management a combination of highly skilled and eminent employees of
the country of varied experience and expertise successfully led by Mr. M. A. Mannan, a dynamic
person, as its Managing Director and well educated, energetic and dedicated officers working with
missionary zeal for the growth and progress of the organization.
4
1.4 Corporate Vision, Mission, and Values:
Vision:
Butterfly is building a national manufacturing & distribution company, known broadly as the
preferred choice among discriminating individuals, institutions, and key intermediaries, by creating
an environment that attracts the mass consumers in our industry.
Mission:
Butterfly Committed to provide latest state-of-art consumer electronics, home appliances and
energy products to all consumers, their families, businesses and institutions at an affordable pricing
through nationwide distribution network effectively coupled with faster and efficient service
network
5
1.5 Products and services with net price:
Profit
Article NO. Article Description Brand Net price
Centre
LG LED 3D Cinema
10925 LG LGFPT 59,120
32LA6130
10926 LG LED 32LN5110 LG LGFPT 39,600
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REF (Refrigerator)
Profit
Article No. Article Description Brand Price
Centre
10647 LG GC-B40BSSRJ LG LGREF 147,780
10765 LG GL-B282VML(NI) LG LGREF 44,200
10645 LG GR-151SU LG LGREF 19,135
10767 LG GL-B312VML(LI) LG LGREF 47,320
10769 LG GL-G392YM LG LGREF 59,225
10777 LG GC-P207BTQV LG LGREF 196,560
10799 ECO+BCD-183 L EC ECREF 32,545
10989 ECO+ BCD-261(BLUE) L EC ECREF 39,675
10628 Butterfly BD-107A BT BTREF 16,535
10629 Butterfly BD-120 BT BTREF 24,725
10626 Hisense RD-42WR4HA HS HSREF 43,055
10610 Hisense RD-33WR4SA HS HSREF 38,270
10633 Kelon FC-19DD4HA KL KLREF 25,060
10642 Kelon FC-40DD4HA KL KLREF 35,460
7
RAC (Room Air Conditioner)
Type Article No. Article Description Brand Profit share Net price
10791 LG HSU-C1264SA0 (L) LG LGRAC 52,900
Power
10792 LG HSU-C1865SA0 (L) LG LGRAC 67850
cooling
10793 LG HSU-C2465SA0 (L) LG LGRAC 79350
10867 LG BS-Q126BAX4 LG LGRAC 95,680
Inverter 10868 LG BS-Q186CAX2 LG LGRAC 161,200
10871 LG BS-Q246C4AX2 LG LGRAC 175,760
10869 LG HS-C126B4N1 LG LGRAC 59,800
Mosquito
10870 LG HS-C186C4NA LG LGRAC 78,000
away
10971 LG HSN-C1264NN8 L LG LGRAC 59,800
10992 LG HS- C126BUR1 LG LGRAC 62,400
Plasma
10993 LG HS-C186CUR4 LG LGRAC 82,160
10495 Hisense AS- 12CR4FWVNS Hisense HSRAC 46,280
10506 Hisense AS-18CR4FWVNS Hisense HSRAC 63,440
Hisense
10854 Hisense AS-18CR4FWWQ Hisense HSRAC 63,960
10519 Hisense AS-24CR4FTVVL Hisense HSRAC 81,120
Burners, Rice cookers, LED lamps, Iron, Tea makers, Generators, Motorcycle.
8
1.6. Organgram:
Board of Directors
9
1.7 SWOT Analysis
Strength-
Market leader
Highly innovative
Attractive features
Weakness-
Seasonal demand
Highly priced
10
Opportunity-
Rapid urbanization
Threat-
11
1.8 Porter’s Five Forces Model
The porters five forces analysis of LG are:
Bargaining Power of Supplier: bargaining power of supplier is low because LG brings raw
materials from various suppliers.
Bargaining Power of Buyer: There are many competitors in the refrigerators market. But bargaining
power of buyer is moderate because LG uses differentiation strategy and the refrigerators are
technologically advanced.
Threats of New Entrants: Threats of new entrants is low because there is well known existing
competitors in the markets. Fixed cost is higher and has to pay high tax incentives to Government.
Threats of Substitutes: Threats of substitutes is also very low. Because there is hardly any substitute
products of refrigerators. And LG is technologically advanced which also reduces threats of
substitutes.
Competitive Rivalry: Competitive rivalry is high because there are many strong competitors in the
refrigerators market. Samsung is also focusing on technology and fighting with LG to become the
market leader. Walton is doing very well by targeting middle class segment and using emotions of
using country’s product.
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Job Part
- Working closely with visual display staff and department heads to decide how goods should
be displayed to maximize customer interest and sales;
- Forecasting profits and sales, and optimizing the sales volume and profitability of designated
product areas;
- Using specialist computer software, for example to handle sales statistics, produce sales
projections and present spreadsheets and graphs;
- Analyzing every aspect of bestsellers (for example, the bestselling price points, colors or
styles) and ensuring that bestsellers reach their full potential;
- Monitoring slow sellers and taking action to reduce prices or set promotions as necessary;
- Analyzing previous season's sales and reporting on the current season's lines;
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- Meeting with suppliers and managing the distribution of stock, by negotiating cost prices,
ordering stock, agreeing timescales and delivery dates, and completing the necessary paperwork(if
needed);
- Identifying production and supply difficulties and dealing with any problems or delays as
they arise; managing, training and supervising junior staff;
- Competitor’s showroom visit & update the line manager about their ISM works, showroom
renovation, POP installation & other things which are better than Butterfly;
- BML showroom visit, update staffs’ modification of display & in-house all merchandising;
- Arrange training about Customer Care & Product to increase the performance of overall
sales staffs;
- Plan making to upgrade every individual of sales about their behavior & product knowledge.
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2.3 Critical observation and recommendation
After working with LG-Butterfly Marketing Limited my observations are:
As SCM (Supply Chain Management) concept is new for Bangladeshi industry, so most of the
employee does not have proper knowledge about SCM but still the company has its forecasting
and allocation process in their company, they are working in this department. Adequate training
on SCM is very much essential for the Industry because Company can swim or sink with SCM.
There is no standard salary structure in LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited, so some employee get
very poor salary compare to other. It should be structured to motivate employee. During most of
the government holiday employee has to do their office and they do not get any extra benefit. If
company need to open during holiday they should provide proper compensation. In LG- Butterfly
Marketing Limited, they should practice good HR policy for their future growth.
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Project Part
The main objective of this project is to have a clear idea about Marketing strategies and product
forecasting and allocation systems.
Understanding the environment, functions and management of the organization for my case it is
LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited.
3.1.2 Methodology
Some simple and common methods have been used to carry out in making the report.
Sources of information:
Practical observation
Face to face conversation with the officers
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3.1.3 Limitations:
Forecasting: In order to target return on investment (ROI) each and every company need to
do forecasting. It is a systematic way, how the company firstly analysis the product demand, seasonal
demand, customers income factors, living factors and then depending upon these variables fixing a
target of sales, which can be also said as sales prediction.
Allocation: After forecasting process, there are some things to be done to get the forecasted
result or the ROI. In that case company need to do proper allocation of the products. Such as: LG-
Butterfly Marketing Limited has its 206 showrooms. Some are in Dhaka and also some are outside of
Dhaka. A completely new 3D SMART TV launched, the price is near 9, 00,000 BDT. If this product
gave to the showrooms in a village area that would not be a good allocation. This TV should be given
to the Gulshan showroom. Where this type TV customers frequently visit. Here transportation is also
important.
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3.3 The need for Forecasting and Allocation
Supply chain management involves coordinating activities across the forecasting and allocation
process. Central to this is taking customer demand and translating it into corresponding activities at
each level of the forecasting and allocation process. The key elements of forecasting and allocation
process are listed in the following table
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Capacity Matching supply and demand.
Planning
Processing Controlling quality, scheduling work.
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3.5 Key forecasting and Allocation systems of LG- Butterfly Marketing
Limited:
Drivers of Supply Chain at LG
Planning: The decision of which model of which product is distributed to the showroom
and how many refrigerators a showroom can get depends on:
Demand Forecast: LG with Butterfly Marketing Limited forecast demand about which
model are needed by the customers.
Sourcing: Only Butterfly Marketing Limited has the exclusive right to distribute product
of LG. BML uses both direct and indirect network to distribute refrigerators.
Direct Network: BML has 206 showrooms all over the Bangladesh to distribute LG
products
Indirect Network: BML has 300+ mixed dealers and many other sub dealers.
Delivery and Transportation: BML has own pick up van to ship refrigerators to
customer house. When refrigerators demand is high, BML has to rent pick up van to transport
LG refrigerator to customer.
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Belt- 5 Belt-6 Belt- 7 Belt-8 Belt-9
Nilfamari-2 Rajshahi5
Thakurgaon-
Natore2
1
Ponchogor-1 Bogra7
Barishal-2
Shatkhira2 Kushtia- 2 Jessore- 5
Jhalakathi- 1
Khagrachori- 1
Shunamgonj-1
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3.7 Division wise and Percentage wise of showrooms categorized:
Total Showrooms
60
50
40
30
20 Series 1
10
0
Diamond- Platinum- Gold-29 Silver- 31 Bronze- 33 Copper- 53 No
20 30 category-
10
22
25
Dhaka Division Copper, 22
20
Bronze, 17
Platinum, 16
15 Silver, 14
Gold, 12
10 Diamond, 9
5
No category, 2
0
Diamond Platinum Gold Silver Bronze Copper No category
23
7
Rajshahi Division
Platinum, 6
6
Copper, 5
5
Diamond, 4
4
Gold, 3 Bronze, 3
3
Silver, 2
2
No category, 1
1
0
Diamond Platinum Gold Silver Bronze Copper No category
24
12
Chittagong Division
Copper, 10
10
8
Silver, 7
4
Diamond, 3 Platinum, 3 No category, 3
Gold, 2 Bronze, 2
2
0
Diamond Platinum Gold Silver Bronze Copper No category
25
3.5
Sylhet Division
Bronze, 3 Copper, 3
3
2.5
1.5
Gold, 1 Silver, 1 No Category, 1
1
0.5
Diamond, 0 Platinum, 0
0
Diamond Platinum Gold Silver Bronze Copper No Category
26
3.5
Barishal Division
Copper, 3
3
2.5
1.5
Diamond, 1 Silver, 1 Bronze, 1
1
0.5
Platinum, 0 Gold, 0 No category, 0
0
Diamond Platinum Gold Silver Bronze Copper No category
27
8
Gold, 7 Khulna Division
7
Copper, 6
6
4
Platinum, 3 Silver, 3
3
diamond, 2 Bronze, 2
2
No category, 1
1
0
diamond Platinum Gold Silver Bronze Copper No category
28
6
Rangpur Division
Bronze, 5
5
Gold, 4 Copper, 4
4
Silver, 3
3
Platinum, 1 No category, 1
1
Diamond , 0
0
Diamond Platinum Gold Silver Bronze Copper No category
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3.8 Product distribution determining process:
Company distributes the products time to time and at approximate estimation. This assumption
prepared based on some variables. As Butterfly has 206 showrooms so it is little bit complex to
estimate that which product will be given to whom and how many quantities. Though the total
process occurred on assumption but there are some forecasting processes:
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Total
% of
1% 3% 15% 15% 16% 18% 15% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% 100%
prediction
Unit 200 600 3000 3000 3200 3600 3000 1000 1000 800 400 200 20000
4000
3600
3500 3200
3000 3000 3000
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000 1000
1000 800
600
400
500 200 200
0
Jan Feb March April May June July August Sept Oct Nov Dec
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3.8.2 Division wise sales prediction percentage:
DHK
Divisions BSL CTG DHK City KHL RAJ RNG SYL Total
% of
1.23% 9.05% 14.21% 50.60% 6.93% 11.53% 3.77% 2.68% 100.00%
prediction
Unit 246 1810 2842 10120 1386 2306 754 536 20000
12000
10120
10000
8000
6000
4000
2842
2306
1810
2000 1386
754 536
246
0
Barishal Chittagong Dhaka Dhaka City Khulna Rajshahi Rangpur Sylhet
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3.7.3 Category wise sales prediction:
% of
prediction 27.87% 19.67% 17.86% 13.67% 10.26% 5.69% 4.98% 100.00%
Category wise
6000 5574
5000
3934
4000 3572
3000 2734
2052
2000
1138 996
1000
0
Diamond Platinum Gold Silver Copper Bronze Iron
Category wise
Above mentioned system show how the products be classified in the time of allocation. Here
shown that the huge sales occurred in Dhaka city and Diamond category showrooms. It also
varies from area to area. As an example, about RAC and Smart TV’s allocation process most
preference will give to Dhaka cities platinum showrooms. Because the purchasing power and the
population is increasing. But in the other hand, in Bogra or Mymensing there are also Diamond
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and Platinum showrooms but there purchasing power of customers for RAC is low, but it is high
for REF(Refrigerator) or for LED TVs.
Reasons:
In these years sales were increasing, because of the living standard is increasing. That time
political condition was stable etc.
2013:
A delay shipment occurred and company couldn’t make its customers product demand. That time
also political condition was also unstable and people didn’t want to spend money.
2014:
In this year company took so many variables and upon these variables it estimated a target of
20000 units. These variables are political condition became good, demand of last year’s
fulfillment, environment prediction (March, April, May, June, July, August)- in this time periods
temperature will be so hot. And most importantly this year the shipment occurred at the perfect
time.
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25000
20000
20000
10000 8000
5000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Sales/year
Though Butterfly made a sales above in 2011, 2012, 2013 and it was decreasing, but sill it took a
target of selling 20000 pieces RAC in 2014. Because company found that in 2013 the sale of
8000 quantity occurred because of having late receiving of stocks and they couldn’t reach to
their target. So in this year they targeted 20000 because of the summer duration, they mainly
targeted for the months of April, May, June, July, August. And they achieved their target within
June.
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3.10 Customer Relationship Management
The ISM team of Butterfly Marketing Limited has its own complaint management system. The
customers or expected customers can know their answers and queries by calling the CIC
department. And the internal problems of the showrooms, complains and queries of the Floor
Sales Persons and Managers are solved by the ISM team. And those data’s collected and noted
down and further those are informed to the management.
After entering at LG-Butterfly showroom, customers get a charm feeling. This is because
showroom is decorated in a way that gives customers happy feeling. The merchandizing at LG-
Butterfly showroom done by two ways:
Product Merchandizing: In the showroom, there is different section for each product category.
For example: Refrigerators are kept in the area of refrigerator section. Product information and
price tag are placed on the each product. As a result, customers can get quick idea about
products. Products are kept in the showroom is free from dust.
Manpower: The sales forces of the showroom are well trained and well mannered. They are
always there to help customers. They always welcome customers and brief the product facility
and show usage instruction to customers. They have to maintain a dress code (Brown, Off white,
Blue) to show the unity of the company.
LG uses social network to reach customers. It has a facebook fan page, in which customer can
get the product, price and company information, can know about the new promotional campaign,
can comment about the functions of the LG refrigerators, can share feelings and can also
comment.
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Conclusion
LG is a dominant player in the consumer refrigerator market in Bangladesh. LG is known as a
people company, which concentrates to create value for customers as well as people. It provides
customized products and creative solution through smart technology that creates a perfect
harmony to the life of customers. In Bangladesh, LG has low brand awareness than other
countries. So, LG is now concentrating on brand building activities to raise its brand awareness
and is focusing more on innovative marketing strategies rather than aggressive selling. LG has
started to follow the ERRC (Eliminate, Reduce, Raise and Create) rule. This means eliminating
unnecessary things, reducing existing standards that is below industry standards, raising existing
standards that is above industry standards, and creating something by following blue ocean
strategy. It has established a factory with its distributor BML in Valuka, which will contribute a
lot in the economy of Bangladesh and customer will also get customized and localized products
at a lower cost. So, at last it can be mentioned that LG has a greater future in Bangladesh.
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Recommendation:
Forecasting and Allocation process in LG- Butterfly Marketing Limited should be approached
in a more systematic manner based on integrated and documented processes. The various
supply chain components like suppliers, manufacturers, warehouses and stores should be
integrated in a single system, which will makes forecasting and allocation system more
effective. The team involved in the operational side on handling the supply chain should be
highly trained in supply chain management function.
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