| | Will another Forbes 30 under 30 member be arrested for fraud before 2025? (manifold.markets) |
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92 points by Brajeshwar on April 7, 2023 | past | 14 comments
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| | If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason? (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by Nuzzerino on March 24, 2023 | past
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| | Will AI pass the Turing test by 2029 Jan 1? (Market on Kapor vs. Kurzweil bet) (manifold.markets) |
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18 points by iNic on Feb 8, 2023 | past | 21 comments
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| | Which online course is the best for learning front end web development? (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by akrolsmir on Oct 13, 2022 | past | 1 comment
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| | What are the next 5 bugs we'll fix on Manifold? (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by collective-intl on Aug 2, 2022 | past | 1 comment
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| | Prediction market: court-ordered completion of Musk / Twitter deal (manifold.markets) |
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4 points by rareroot on Aug 2, 2022 | past | 1 comment
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| | Will the Musk Twitter deal close? (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by cosmojg on July 26, 2022 | past | 6 comments
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| | Will Elon Musk buy Twitter this year? (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by collective-intl on July 21, 2022 | past
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| | Probability of: Will the April 22 “Etsy Strike” achieve one or more of its aims? (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by quickthrower2 on April 17, 2022 | past
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| | Prediction market: We're unhappy with Firestore. What will we switch to? (manifold.markets) |
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43 points by akrolsmir on March 19, 2022 | past | 43 comments
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| | Will published performance on GSM8K-test exceed 90% by first April 2023? (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by nmca on Feb 24, 2022 | past
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| | Will self-driving taxi service be generally available by 2025? (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by intellectronica on Feb 13, 2022 | past
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| | Show HN: Using a prediction market to play Wordle (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by akrolsmir on Feb 11, 2022 | past
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| | Show HN: Create your own prediction market in two minutes (manifold.markets) |
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84 points by akrolsmir on Feb 9, 2022 | past | 72 comments
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| | Manifold Markets (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by larsiusprime on Jan 14, 2022 | past
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