| | I bet against a space launch as I cheered it on (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by surprisetalk 54 days ago | past
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| | Claude Plays Pokémon (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by surprisetalk 67 days ago | past
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| | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025? (manifold.markets) |
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6 points by lawrenceyan 3 months ago | past | 1 comment
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| | Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027? (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by lawrenceyan 3 months ago | past
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| | Seven lessons I didn't learn from election day (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by Luc 5 months ago | past | 2 comments
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| | Bet on whether we'll fix our betting site (manifold.markets) |
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3 points by palebone 6 months ago | past
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| | Biden's paths forward, according to Manifold (manifold.markets) |
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4 points by surprisetalk 10 months ago | past
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| | Dev Insights – Creator Partner Program (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by debesyla 11 months ago | past
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| | Manifold: Cash Prizes for Good Predictions (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by kqr on May 2, 2024 | past
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| | Manifold Love – Retrospective: What we learnt from creating a wild dating app (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by jseliger on March 9, 2024 | past
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| | Rootclaim who favored lab-leak hypothesis loses $100k Covid origins debate (manifold.markets) |
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6 points by Leary on Feb 18, 2024 | past
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| | Will we regret building our new site with Nextjs App Router? (manifold.markets) |
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3 points by palebone on Jan 19, 2024 | past | 2 comments
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| | Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important? (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by collective-intl on Nov 26, 2023 | past | 1 comment
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| | Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026? (manifold.markets) |
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13 points by 7e on Nov 22, 2023 | past
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| | Applying predication markets to help people find love (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by dominik on Nov 19, 2023 | past
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| | Why was Sam Altman fired? – Manifold (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by stareatgoats on Nov 18, 2023 | past
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| | Presenting Manifold Love – Our new dating site (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by Jetbat on Nov 9, 2023 | past
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| | Given an equation of 1 digit numbers, can DALLE-3 add? (manifold.markets) |
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10 points by epivosism on Oct 8, 2023 | past | 6 comments
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| | Predict the future: A new way to get news and answers to real-world questions (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by danboarder on Sept 2, 2023 | past
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| | Prediction Market on LK-99 (manifold.markets) |
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19 points by huijzer on Aug 1, 2023 | past | 5 comments
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| | Prediction market: ~30% chance for Ambient Temperature Superconducting (manifold.markets) |
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3 points by k2xl on July 31, 2023 | past
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| | Will the superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025? (Manifold Markets) (manifold.markets) |
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4 points by RomanHauksson on July 26, 2023 | past
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| | Out of the Superconducting Loop? (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by Sir_Salty on July 26, 2023 | past | 1 comment
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| | Will the LK-99 room temp superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025? (manifold.markets) |
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3 points by collective-intl on July 26, 2023 | past
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| | The historical hype around Lisp is from back when the alternative was C (manifold.markets) |
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2 points by behnamoh on July 25, 2023 | past
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| | Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (manifold.markets) |
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37 points by kilobit on July 20, 2023 | past | 66 comments
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| | Is the probability of dying in the Snake Eyes Paradox 1/36? (manifold.markets) |
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10 points by quickthrower2 on July 17, 2023 | past
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| | Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets (manifold.markets) |
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3 points by RC_Blog on May 6, 2023 | past
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| | Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets (manifold.markets) |
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4 points by akrolsmir on May 5, 2023 | past | 1 comment
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| | If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason? (manifold.markets) |
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1 point by kvee on April 10, 2023 | past | 3 comments
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More |
