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One other effect to consider is the housing prices after the bill. Expensive areas might see an up to 10% drop in property values, which would be bad for those who recently bought but should be easily weathered by others who have seen an 80%+ appreciation in the last 6 years.



why would they drop?


Because buying property becomes less lucrative and requires more money with no mortgage interest tax deduction. I'm not sure anyone has modeled an accurate demand curve, but in theory this will impact housing prices.


But if you sell, you lose your grandfathered in deduction.. a supply cut that might cancel it demand cut


It's hard to imagine supply getting any lower than it already is, but yes that is potential offset.


And in California we still have Prop 13, which effectively locks long-term owners into their existing houses.




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