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> The rate of change of technological progress is increasing

Well, the rate of change seems to be high. Whether it's "progress" is another matter. Progress usually implies change, but the reverse is not at all necessarily true.

Who's usually in a position to recognize that and be a judge of it? People with experience.

So the question I'd ask is this: when someone with experience doesn't like change, is it because they've "crystalized"? Or is it because they have some defensible reason for disliking the change?

If it might be both, how would someone be able to tell the difference?




Good question! I think it would be useful to try something like Double Crux: (http://lesswrong.com/lw/o6p/double_crux_a_strategy_for_resol...)

Say Person B is proposing a change from Solution A -> Solution B.

Person A thinks Solution A is still the correct approach.

I think it's important to understand in detail what aspects of Solution B are appealing to Person B. It may be subtle, psychological, and/or political, but there's a reason why this change is important to person B. Person A & Solution A must address those issues, or risk eventual obsolescence.

It's also entirely possible that the more correct approach is Solution C, and this process can help establish what exactly that is.




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