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Whenever you see someone showing a brief and incomplete window of data, you have to take a step back and ask yourself "why?". There is seldomly a case for you to just disregard newer data when trying to predict into the future.

That being said, this is simply a Tesla short that used incomplete (but true in the past) statistics to try and make Tesla look bad. They time boxed their statistics to 2016 and despite the post being made in mid 2018.

Tesla for the years 2019, 2018, 2017 has had 7 deaths per year each (6 so far in 2019). Despite the number of Tesla's on the road showing hockey stick like growth, the number of fatalities has remained nearly constant.

If the blog post were to be true, the number of fatalities due to accidents in 2017 should have been 14, then 24 in 2018, and closer to 50 in 2019.




Just to approach this from another angle: Teslas currently make up about 0.1% (very very roughly) of all cars in the US. From that, you’d expect around 40 fatalities per year, and increasing fast.


I doubt the extrapolation is that simple. Most fatal wrecks happen to people who are unlikely to be owning an expensive EV.




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