Look at healthcare as a percentage of gdp over the last 50 years. Costs have been rising at a much slower rate over the last 10 years, and have dropped over the last 3. There's no reason to think the rate will stay constant over 20 years.
If anything naive extrapolating shows falling costs as a percentage of GDP, and sustainable rising real costs.
The only way we get crazy numbers is extrapolating using the average from 2000-2020, but there's no reason to do that.
If anything naive extrapolating shows falling costs as a percentage of GDP, and sustainable rising real costs.
The only way we get crazy numbers is extrapolating using the average from 2000-2020, but there's no reason to do that.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/184968/us-health-expendi...