Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

Wind and solar still don't scale as well as a nuclear plant. It is the the most compact way to generate a few gigawatts of energy in one place without re-routing a huge river. Likewise, the big problem with wind and solar is that the areas where they are economical to install (e.g. Western China) are often far away from where the energy is needed (e.g. Eastern China), and transmission over long distances still hasn't been worked out.



Wind and solar don't scale as well as the nuclear plants that aren't being built would scale, if they were being built at scale, but they're not.

Wind and solar scaled better in 2019 than the Chinese were hoping nuclear would scale when they made big plans c. 2015. Those plans weren't realized: https://twitter.com/sampenrose/status/1162772916125126656

Again, I am rooting for nuclear to take off. The best realistic plans are that low gigawatts will start to arrive towards the end of this decade. Meanwhile, wind and solar will be added at that scale every year in between, and more and more of it will be used to create liquid fuel:

https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/mega-projects-h...

Advocating for clean power is good. Failing to update the priors that Stewart Brand et alia formed 15 years ago when wind and solar were an order of magnitude more expensive and three orders of magnitude less deployed is not good.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: