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The points don't make a compelling argument to me.

> 1) For 95% of applications you can just distribute a single SWF file

A single HTML file can hold HTML, CSS, and JavaScript.

> 2) You have a robust authoring tool that is animation/graphics-first and newbie friendly

Hard to believe that there are literally no options that fit into that category for HTML5. An example of the next-best-thing would be helpful.

> 3) You can send a link to your mom and she can just play it w/ no issues

Same with HTML5. Send a link and no problems, unless she's one of the vanishing few still running IE6.




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