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>But it is seldom helpful as a tool for prediction and problem-solving.

I'm not that sure. Perhaps that is the prejudice of an age with lesser historical ambitions.




Can you please elaborate? what grand stories (or meta-narratives) historically shown to be good tools for prediction and problem-solving do you have in mind?


The grand story of "stages of historical development of the means of production" in Marxism for example. Or the grand story of the rise and decline of civilizations in Spengler.


I have to think about these. Have immediate negative gut reaction, but want to think about if for some time.

Anyway, thank you very much for answering!




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