> 2) Inflation reduces the true value (cost) of debt. And with $34.5 trillion of it, that’s a big incentive to keep it around.
This is the point that a lot of people miss. Inflation is good for governments as well as businesses who can exploit high inflation to raise prices and shrinkflate products disproportionatly while lowing their wage bills in real terms.
But it inflicts the most suffering on not just the working class, but the sensible/frugal ones who minimize their debt and accumulate some amount of savings rather, but who don't have enough wealth or knowledge to get serious about investing it.
And good for people so wealthy that they never go without debt but have people they pay for keeping their net worth leveraged forever. Eventually paying off the mortgage is a very middle class thing, they can't afford risking shelter longer than necessary. The rich never stop paying off mortgages.
What happens when one gets laid off, disabled, changes careers, or faces some other circumstances that cause incomes to fall below what’s needed to service debt payments? That’s why living below one’s means and saving the rest is prudent.
Unfortunately high inflation penalizes savers by eroding the purchasing power of savings, and it forces all workers on a treadmill where it seems that the cost of living rises faster than many people’s ability to catch up. The only way to beat inflation it seams is to invest in assets such as real estate or stocks, but those squeezed by inflation have little to invest, and these assets are increasingly difficult to obtain due to inflation. I find being on the wrong side of inflation highly demoralizing and upsetting.
Two economists were walking down the street. One saw a dog shit on the ground, and told the other: “If you eat that, I’ll give you thousand dollars.” Other guy looked at it, thought “It’s bad, but I’ll get $1000”, and ate it. His friend paid him, although he still regretted it because it was really bad. After some time, they encountered another dog shit. This time the guy who ate it before, seeking revenge of the foul taste in his mouth, offered $1000 for eating it to his friend. He accepted, thinking “I’ll gain the $1000 I lost”. He ate it and got paid. After some time, they stopped for a while, and one said to other, “I feel like we just ate shit for nothing”, his friend replied: “Oh, come on! We just contributed to the GDP by $2000, it can’t be for nothing!”
(Commented this exact commenting the past, but relevant so doing it again.)
> Absent government intervention in the functioning of markets, being frugal would have paid off way more than it has
Why do you believe that to be the case? I think you are going with a gut feeling that the world should reward frugality, but if you actually examine that belief, there is no solid science behind it - but he world does not appreciate moral virtues, it does not reward kindness, and other things either.
It depends on the knowledge you have. Most people aren't aware that unless they are getting a 7%+ return on their savings, they're actually getting poorer every year.
So many of my cohort are now in a state of financial nihilism. Just yolo into the hottest stocks and crypto because debt is money and cash is for suckers.
I don't think people against inflation miss this point, they just think the massive government spending needs to go (or, at the extreme, the entire government, whether they have rationalised it yet or not), not the value of poor people's cash.
This is the point that a lot of people miss. Inflation is good for governments as well as businesses who can exploit high inflation to raise prices and shrinkflate products disproportionatly while lowing their wage bills in real terms.
But it inflicts the most suffering on not just the working class, but the sensible/frugal ones who minimize their debt and accumulate some amount of savings rather, but who don't have enough wealth or knowledge to get serious about investing it.