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The problem is that detecting fraud is fundamentally harder than generating plausible fraud. This is because ultimately a very good fraud producer can simply produce output that is identically distributed to non-fraud.

For the same reason, tools that try to detect AI-generated text are ultimately going to lose the arm's race.




It's not a race though. Once the fraud is committed to record it can no longer advance in sophistication. Mechanisms for detection will continue to advance.


I think the argument is that if you produce your fraud from an appropriate probability distribution, any "detection" method other than independently verifying the results is snake oil.




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