With zero doubt. Faster than we expect. And yet, it's nice that we are learning to distrust what we see before the "real real" stuff comes out.

Open source has already caught up with SOTA:

https://www.reddit.com/r/StableDiffusion/comments/1hav4z3/op...

These are even unfair comparisons because they're leveraging text-to-video instead of the more powerful image-to-video. In the latter case, the results are indistinguishable.

Video generation is about to be everywhere, and we're about to have the "Stable Diffusion" moment for video.

Look at the comments: people are already fawning over open source being uncensored.

Cat's out of the bag.

Very convenient for those who are waiting for the waters to get muddier.

I'm wondering that as well but I also wonder if it's a bit like CGI where it's somewhat hit a limit on realness. I'm not saying CGI doesn't get better but is a 2024 Gollum that much more realistic than 2004 Gollum? Maybe I'm wrong but I wonder if that plastic feel to AI lessens but still sticks around.