Open models will catch up next year or the year after, there only so many things to try and there's lots of people trying them, so it's more or less an inevitability.

The part to get excited about is that there's plenty of headroom left to gain in performance. They called o1 a preview, and it was, a preview for QwQ and similar models. We get the demo from OAI and then get the real thing for free next year.