I'll bandwagon on chat.com getting 10% or higher marketshare. Look back at Google search's 800 number; https://techcrunch.com/2013/05/12/google-kills-sms-search/ (the only article I could find). We're at that stage of chat.com going mainstream. Already chat.com is a better experience for finding local shops and restaurants.
ChatGPT voice mode was surgically amazing while driving. I had a personal assistant refining criteria to find the perfect shop to find the gift I wanted that was open and on my way to my destination.
I don't think there is a moat for search given the power of AI tools.
I think Open AI will release a GPT phone and the UX is built around your phone being your personal AI assistant.
When you pick it up it's like you are always on a Facetime call with your AI personal assistant. You can skin your AI personal assistant how they look .. to look like a celebrity to a deceased friend or relative whose always there to help & guide you through your day (get things done for you, your knowlegdebase, knows your life and sees how you are doing via Vision AI.. if you want it can be your friend and show care for you).
If Open AI doesn't do this then another AI company will in 2025. We need a new phone / personal device paradigm. The iPhone and Android are stale and boring in 2024!
Calling a technology boring is such an odd thing. Is a screwdriver boring and stale? Are microwaves boring and stale? The expectation of getting regular dopamine rushes from new smartphone features is not healthy
Ah ive used the chatGPT iPhone app frequently as well when driving to get things done and learn things through voice chat. In doing so i want that same experience from Siri and more, but Siri is dumb as ever. She pales in comparison to an app (GPT) running on Apple's iPhone, so to me GPT has made Siri stale and boring.
I use GPT frequently and it has made me think how I want an AI Phone to be; envision what i think (its subjective) would be a new phone UX paradigm that knocks peoples socks off. Thus the iPhone is far from what I've envisioned so further & subjectively its outdated/stale/boring.
Basically you'd have the movie H.E.R. in your pocket but the facetime video you talk to is of a skin of whoever you like it to be living or deceased. Having your personal AI assistant as a deceased love one who still guides/helps you through daily life might be a game/world changing use of AI or possibly a terrible idea.
I think once people have the device as i described they won't care too much about privacy. They surely don't now as Android users and even a huge chunk of iPhone users won't either.
Apple waiting to create such a personal device as noted above for it to work locally will be the decline and possible death of the boring iPhone!
ChatGPT Search will get significant (high 1 digit) share of the search market.