Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

How do those confidence levels work? It looks to me you're just assigning probabilities to outcomes.



I think it's roughly: "I would bet 9$ to your $1 that this happens", although some of these are vague enough that you couldn't objectively determine whether the bet materialized.


So they aren't confidence levels. They're odds, but he's trying to sound sophisticated.




Consider applying for YC's Summer 2025 batch! Applications are open till May 13

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: