> And as a consequence, they know where that area of expertise ends. And they know what half-knowing something feels like compared to really knowing something. And thus, they will preface and qualify their statements.
How do you count examples like Musk, then?
He is very cautious about rockets, and all the space science people I follow and hold in high regard, say he's actually a ___domain expert there. He regularly expectation-manages experimental SpaceX launches downward.
He's also very bold and brash about basically everything else; the majority of people I've seeing saying he's skilled in any other area have turned out to not themselves have any skills in those areas, while the people who do have expertise say he's talking nonsense at best and is taking wild safety risks at worst.
Musk is probably really good at back of the envelope calculations. The kind that lets you excel in first year physics. That skill puts you above a lot of people in finance and engineering when it comes to quickly assessing an idea. It is also a gimmick, but I respect it. My wild guess is that he uses that one skill to find out who to believe among the people he hires.
The rest of the genius persona is growing up with enough ego that he could become a good salesman, and also badly managed autism and also a badly managed drug habit.
Seeing him dabble in politics and social media shows instantly how little he understands the limits of his knowledge. A scholar he is not.
How do you count examples like Musk, then?
He is very cautious about rockets, and all the space science people I follow and hold in high regard, say he's actually a ___domain expert there. He regularly expectation-manages experimental SpaceX launches downward.
He's also very bold and brash about basically everything else; the majority of people I've seeing saying he's skilled in any other area have turned out to not themselves have any skills in those areas, while the people who do have expertise say he's talking nonsense at best and is taking wild safety risks at worst.