- Photovoltaic electricity generation will continue to follow the same exponential curve it has been in for the last ~70 years. This will catch everybody completely by surprise.
- The overwhelming amount of excess solar generation during the day will propel grid storage into getting a lot of investment. Its capacity will still be mostly a rounding error in 2025.
- The overwhelming amount of excess solar generation during the day will propel discussions about carbon capture and credits. Those won't go anywhere in 2025.
- Meanwhile, the climate won't become much worse in 2025 compared to 2024. What is still pretty bad, but there will certainly be useless heated discussions about it.
- LLMs will reach peak disillusionment. It's not clear if large LLM providers will even keep providing them. But at the same time there will appear a few people here and there using them for stuff they are good at. Those people won't get much attention.
- Linux won't reach 2% of the PCs. But it will get close.
- The US won't jump into a recession as soon as Trump becomes the president. Not much will change in 2025 alone.
- The EU economy will be a bit better than 2024.
- The China economy will be a bit worse than 2024. But there will be no way to verify this.
- Here in South America most countries will be a bit better than 2024. But Brazil will be worse.
Let's see... what other subjects I can ask my crystal ball about?
- The overwhelming amount of excess solar generation during the day will propel grid storage into getting a lot of investment. Its capacity will still be mostly a rounding error in 2025.
- The overwhelming amount of excess solar generation during the day will propel discussions about carbon capture and credits. Those won't go anywhere in 2025.
- Meanwhile, the climate won't become much worse in 2025 compared to 2024. What is still pretty bad, but there will certainly be useless heated discussions about it.
- LLMs will reach peak disillusionment. It's not clear if large LLM providers will even keep providing them. But at the same time there will appear a few people here and there using them for stuff they are good at. Those people won't get much attention.
- Linux won't reach 2% of the PCs. But it will get close.
- The US won't jump into a recession as soon as Trump becomes the president. Not much will change in 2025 alone.
- The EU economy will be a bit better than 2024.
- The China economy will be a bit worse than 2024. But there will be no way to verify this.
- Here in South America most countries will be a bit better than 2024. But Brazil will be worse.
Let's see... what other subjects I can ask my crystal ball about?