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Perhaps (hopefully) you are right and its just bread and circuses for us. They really are playing 6D chess and it's really about just being irrational, art of the deal style.

Perhaps related to the discussion:

The Scientific Art of Negotiating with a Possibly Irrational Opponent by William Spaniel

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AGO1gvNgG6k




There's probably also a case where Putin needs to be in a position to save face in order not to be overthrown - which could be even more dangerous.

On the other hand this might all just be trying to pretend there's a coherent strategy when its all just actually chaos.




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