I'm already betting against that with my portfolio.

Kudos for being straightforward and putting your money where your mouth is. I wish that you'd come back with the results in 4 years.

I'm happy to. And if I am wrong about the economy, it won't be the first time.

Because extrapolating with little data is stupid.

https://xkcd.com/605/

It’s clever to pick the word “prosper” rather than grow, or stabilize, or build, or strengthen. It’s also clever to slip Vance into it, which assumes either he wins the ongoing succession, or loses it and moots your bet.

about as sound of a bet as joe biden winning a gold medal in decathlon in the next summer olympics :)