Of course no one - including you - will remember your prophecy come August, but I am pretty sure you are wrong. Why? Because history does not repeat itself, esp. not when it comes to speculation.
That is quite possibly one of the stupidest statements I've ever read on HN, let alone the wider internet. We don't study history because we seriously think we can avoid making the same mistakes, really. We study history because we need to know what other people are going to get us entangled in because "this time, it's different".
Of course no one - including you - will remember your prophecy come August, but I am pretty sure you are wrong. Why? Because history does not repeat itself, esp. not when it comes to speculation.