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And intelligence knew about the 9/11 bombers before 9/11, and failed to stop them.

If we already have enough data to predict criminal acts, and we are still failing, how is collecting more data the solution?

[Note, Fiction:] My smoke detector did a create job ringing when my house caught fire, but the fire department trucks didn't get to my house in time to save it. Why should I buy more smoke detectors?




I think your fictional example perfectly captures how flawed your argument is.


Do you mind expanding on your comment? I don't see the flaw in gohrt's argument.

To avoid getting into a debate about smoke detectors and fire departments, can you clarify the flaw in the actual argument he raised:

> If we already have enough data to predict criminal acts, and we are still failing, how is collecting more data the solution?


Imagine a smoke detector that could note the presence of conditions known to lead the fire and pre-alert the fire department to be ready to respond quickly...


And if the firetrucks still didn't make it in time or ignored the warning signs because the fancy smoke detector gave off lots of false warnings....

I still don't see a flaw with the underlying argument.




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