That's a cool problem. It took a while to understand the angle.
I'd say I'm a halfer. I think the extreme sleeping beauty problem highlights how if you're woken up, it's not any more probable it's a head or a tails awakening, since, for a reason I can't explain, the million tails awakenings "don't accumulate".
In a sense, it's like the opposite of the Monty Hall problem, since here the sleeping beauty receives no information whatsoever during the experiment.
I'd say I'm a halfer. I think the extreme sleeping beauty problem highlights how if you're woken up, it's not any more probable it's a head or a tails awakening, since, for a reason I can't explain, the million tails awakenings "don't accumulate".
In a sense, it's like the opposite of the Monty Hall problem, since here the sleeping beauty receives no information whatsoever during the experiment.