Win-Gallup International Global Index of Religiosity and Atheism-2012
Win-Gallup International Global Index of Religiosity and Atheism-2012
GLOBAL INDEX OF
Press Release
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Contact Details For further details please contact: Dr. Ijaz Shafi Gilani: Ms. Rushna Shahid: Irene Zuettel Email: gilani@gallup.com.pk (Mobile) (Landline) Email: rushna.shahid@gallup.com.pk (Mobile) (Landline) Email: jirene.zuettel@gallup-international.com +92-307-5440148 +92-51-2655630 +92-307-5440148 +92-51-2655630
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Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com
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Global Index of
Zurich, 27 July 2012 We have no opinion polling data prior to the 20th century, but according to the latest global poll released by WIN-Gallup International, a world-wide network of leading opinion pollsters, atheists are a small minority in the early years of 21st century. Only 13% say they are atheists. They are mostly concentrated in East Asia where 47% of the Chinese and 31% of the Japanese say they are atheists; and Western Europe, 14% of whose population says the same. Elsewhere sizeable majorities claim to be religious; the global average is 59%. Another sizeable group claims to be not-religious but stops short of defining itself as atheist. Their global average is 23%. The WIN-Gallup International Religiosity and Atheism Index which measures global self-perceptions on beliefs is based on interviews with more than 50,000 men and women selected from 57 countries across the globe in five continents. The survey also provides trend data for shifts in attitudes since 2005. A world-wide poll conducted by WIN-Gallup International, a network of the worlds top most independent pollsters, asked exactly the same question in 57 countries across the globe:
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Question: Irrespective of whether you attend a place of worship or not, would you say you are a religious person, not a religious persons or a convinced atheist? In response to this 59% of the world said that they think of themselves as religious person, 23% think of themselves as not religious whereas 13% think of themselves as convinced atheists. TOP 10 ATHEIST POPULATIONS: The top ten Atheist populations are the following:
Percent saying they think of themselves as convinced atheists:
Countries China Japan Czech Republic France Korea, Rep (South) Germany Netherlands Austria Iceland Australia Ireland (11 countries because of 4 tying in at 10%)
A religious person Not a religious person A convinced atheist Dont know / no response
14% 16% 20% 37% 52% 51% 43% 42% 57% 37% 47%
30% 31% 48% 34% 31% 33% 42% 43% 31% 48% 44%
47% 31% 30% 29% 15% 15% 14% 10% 10% 10% 10%
9% 23% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 5% 2% 5% 0%
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96% 93% 92% 92% 90% 89% 88% 88% 86% 85%
2% 4% 3% 5% 8% 6% 9% 9% 8% 13%
0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 3% 1%
1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3% 1%
INTERESTING VARIATIONS AMONG THE BELIEVERS: The proportion among believers who say I see myself as religious is higher among Christians compared to Muslims and Jewish populations. Hindus score the highest. AMONG BELIEVERS* SHARE OF I AM RELIGIOUS AND NOT-RELIGIOUS
Religions Christians (all denominations) Muslims Jews Hindus I am Religious 81% 74% 38% 82% Not Religious 16% 20% 54% 12%
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RELIGIOSITY IS HIGHER AMONG THE POOR: People in bottom income groups are 17% more religious than those in top income groups. It is interesting that Religiosity declines as worldly prosperity of individuals rises. While the results for nations as a whole are mixed, individual respondents within a country show a revealing pattern. If citizens of each of the 57 countries are grouped into five groups, from the relatively poor to relatively rich in their own countries, the richer you get, the less religious you define yourself. Percent of Population describing itself as RELIGIOUS
Bottom Quintile (LOW INCOME) Medium-Low Quintile Medium Quintile Medium-High Quintile High Quintile (HIGH INCOME) 66% 65% 56% 51% 49%
RELIGIOSITY IS LOWER AMONG COLLEGE EDUCATED: College educated are 16% less religious than those without secondary education. The same pattern is applicable to formal Educational Attainment. As formal educational attainment rises, fewer self-describe themselves to be religious: Percent of Population describing itself as RELIGIOUS
Less than Secondary Education Secondary Education Higher Education 68% 61% 52%
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TRENDS SINCE 2005: Religiosity drops by 9%, while atheism rises by 3%. There is a notable decline across the globe in self-description of being religious. WIN-Gallup International had carried out exactly the same poll seven years ago in 2005. The global average of the 39 countries polled in both waves shows Religiosity Index dropped by 9% during these seven years. Most of the shift is not drifting from their faith, but claiming to be not religious while remaini ng within the faith. There is however a rise of 3% in atheism as well (see table 3, 4 ahead) TEN COUNTRIES EXPERIENCING NOTABLE DECLINE IN RELIGIOSITY SINCE 2005
Drop in Religiosity Index
Country Global Average Vietnam Switzerland France South Africa Iceland Ecuador United States Canada Austria Germany
2005 77% 53% 71% 58% 83% 74% 85% 73% 58% 52% 60%
2012 68% 30% 50% 37% 64% 57% 70% 60% 46% 42% 51%
% change in Religiosity -9% -23% -21% -21% -19% -17% -15% -13% -12% -10% -9%
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The poll was conducted by the oldest and the largest network of opinion pollsters affiliated with WIN-Gallup International in 57 countries covering more than 73% of the worlds population.
Commentary
by
Jean-Marc
Leger
(President WIN-Gallup
International, the network which runs the Annual barometer of opinions since 1977) Despite the immense impact of technology and an emphasis on worldly affairs, the 21st century overwhelmingly espouses a religious faith and atheism is in a minority. It would be wonderful if we had data from a hundred years ago to compare with. Unfortunately there were no global opinion polls at the time. We take pride in saying that with rising number of global polls on social issues, our future generations will be less handicapped in such analyses Methodology: The global barometer of hope and despair is an annual tradition initiated by and designed under the chairmanship of Dr. George Gallup in 1977. It is conducted every year since then. This year it was carried out by associates of WIN-Gallup International in 57 countries around the world. Sample Size and Mode of Field Work: A total of 51,927 persons were interviewed globally. In each country a national probability sample of around 1000 men and women was interviewed either face to face (35 countries; n=33,890), via telephone (11 countries; n=7,661) or online (11 countries; n=10,376). Details are attached. The field work was conducted during November 2011- January 2012. In general the
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error margin for surveys of this kind is +3-5% at 95% confidence level. Weighting: The global average has been computed according to the share of the covered adult population of the surveyed countries.
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The Religiosity Index represents the percentage of the population who self-describe themselves as a religious person in the question worded as: Irrespective of whether you attend a place of worship or not, would you say you are a religious person, not a religious persons or a convinced atheist? Atheism Index represents the percentage of population who selfdescribe themselves as convinced atheists in the Question reported above.
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National populations who are more inclined to say they are religious
Armenia Fiji Macedonia Romania Iraq Kenya Peru Brazil Georgia Pakistan Afghanistan Moldova Colombia Cameroon Malaysia India Poland South Sudan Uzbekistan Serbia Tunisia Saudi Arabia Italy Argentina Ukraine Ecuador Lithuania Bosnia and Herzegovina Palestinian territories (West Bank and Gaza) Lebanon South Africa United States Belgium Bulgaria Iceland Russian Federation Finland Korea, Rep (South) Spain Germany Switzerland Ireland Canada Azerbaijan Netherlands Austria Hong Kong France Australia Vietnam
National populations who are less inclined to say they are religious
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National populations who are more inclined to say they are atheists
Czech Republic France Korea, Rep (South) Germany Netherlands Austria Iceland Australia Ireland Canada Spain Switzerland Hong Kong Sweden Belgium Italy Argentina Russian Federation Finland South Sudan Saudi Arabia Moldova United States Poland South Africa Palestinian territories (West Bank and Gaza) Bosnia and Herzegovina Ukraine Colombia Cameroon India Peru Serbia Armenia Bulgaria Pakistan Ecuador Kenya Lebanon Uzbekistan Turkey Lithuania Romania Macedonia Brazil Fiji Nigeria Georgia Tunisia Azerbaijan Iraq Malaysia Ghana Afghanistan Vietnam
National populations who are less inclined to say they are atheists
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Table 3
Note on Turkey and Hong Kong: Both Turkey and Hong Kong show notable change since 2005. These changes are not from a faith to atheism but a shift from selfdescription of being Religious to Not Religious. We have requested researchers in both countries to investigate reasons which might explain this extra-ordinary shift.
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Table 4
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Table 6
59%
A religious person
23%
Not a religious person
13%
A convinced atheist
5%
Dont know / no response
1031 1002 500 1040 1003 510 528 1000 2002 997 504 1003 500 606 1000 400 1020 984 1671 1000 502 1505 500 852 1091 1000 1001 987 1200 1000 1524 500 1025 1209 520 1086 505 1049 2705 626 1207 520 1050
83% 72% 92% 37% 42% 44% 59% 67% 85% 59% 82% 46% 14% 83% 20% 70% 92% 53% 37% 84% 51% 96% 38% 57% 81% 88% 47% 73% 16% 88% 52% 64% 69% 90% 81% 83% 43% 93% 84% 65% 86% 81% 89%
15% 19% 3% 48% 43% 51% 26% 25% 13% 28% 14% 40% 30% 12% 48% 27% 5% 38% 34% 12% 33% 2% 51% 31% 13% 9% 44% 15% 31% 9% 31% 33% 22% 8% 13% 5% 42% 4% 8% 29% 8% 9% 6%
0% 7% 2% 10% 10% 0% 8% 4% 1% 2% 3% 9% 47% 3% 30% 2% 1% 6% 29% 1% 15% 0% 9% 10% 3% 0% 10% 8% 31% 2% 15% 2% 1% 1% 0% 5% 14% 1% 2% 4% 3% 5% 1%
2% 1% 2% 5% 5% 5% 7% 4% 1% 12% 1% 5% 9% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 0% 4% 23% 1% 2% 2% 7% 1% 6% 7% 2% 2% 6% 2% 3% 6% 3%
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WIN-Gallup International GLOBAL INDEX OF RELIGIOSITY AND ATHEISM - 2012 Russian Federation 1000 55% 26% 6% 13% Saudi Arabia 502 75% 19% 5% 1% Serbia 1037 77% 16% 3% 4% South Africa 200 64% 28% 4% 5% South Sudan 1020 79% 10% 6% 5% Spain 1146 52% 38% 9% 1% Sweden 501 29% 50% 8% 12% Switzerland 507 50% 38% 9% 4% Tunisia 503 75% 22% 0% 2% Turkey 1031 23% 73% 2% 2% Ukraine 1013 71% 20% 3% 6% United States 1002 60% 30% 5% 5% Uzbekistan 500 79% 16% 2% 3% Vietnam 500 30% 65% 0% 5% Note 1: Global Average is weighted according to Weighting Scheme explained in the Methods Chapter 2: In some cases the total may not add up to 100 or mismatch with earlier tables to the extent of 1%. Please ignore this, as it is due to round off error.
Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com
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Table 7
REGIONAL CLASSIFICATION
Sample Size Unweighted N
A religious person Not a religious person A convinced atheist Dont know / no response
All Regions North America Latin America Western Europe Eastern Europe Africa Arab World West Asia South Asia East Asia North Asia G-7 United States of America Canada Germany France Italy Japan BRIC Brazil Russian Federation India China Other G-20 Argentina Korea Turkey Australia South Africa Saudi Arabia Global Flash- Points Iraq Afghanistan Pakistan
51927 2005 5217 11227 12437 5278 3131 5777 1091 1020 4744 6365 1002 1003 502 1671 987 1200 4593 2002 1000 1091 500 5299 1002 1524 1031 1040 200 502 5362 1000 1031 2705
59% 57% 84% 51% 66% 89% 77% 64% 83% 39% 17% 48% 60% 46% 51% 37% 73% 16% 60% 85% 55% 81% 14% 46% 72% 52% 23% 37% 64% 75% 83% 88% 83% 84%
23% 33% 13% 32% 21% 7% 18% 30% 11% 57% 30% 30% 30% 40% 33% 34% 15% 31% 18% 13% 26% 13% 30% 45% 19% 31% 73% 48% 28% 19% 9% 9% 15% 8%
13% 6% 2% 14% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 0% 42% 14% 5% 9% 15% 29% 8% 31% 17% 1% 6% 3% 47% 7% 7% 15% 2% 10% 4% 5% 3% 0% 0% 2%
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WIN-Gallup International GLOBAL INDEX OF RELIGIOSITY AND ATHEISM - 2012 Palestine Emerging and other Nations in Asia and Latin America Malaysia Hong Kong Vietnam Peru Ecuador Colombia Fiji Emerging and other Nations in Western Europe Spain Sweden Finland Iceland Austria Switzerland Belgium Netherlands Ireland Lebanon Emerging and other Nations in Eastern Europe Poland Romania Czech Republic Bulgaria Bosnia and Herzegovina Macedonia Serbia Moldova CIS/ Former Soviet Union Ukraine Lithuania Armenia Azerbaijan Uzbekistan Georgia Africa Nigeria Kenya Tunisia Ghana 626 4753 65% 29% 43% 4% 1% 2%
52%
4%
0% 9% 0% 3% 2% 3% 1% 10%
6% 2% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3%
1146 501 984 852 1003 507 528 505 1001 500 7899
52% 29% 53% 57% 42% 50% 59% 43% 47% 64% 71%
38% 50% 38% 31% 43% 38% 26% 42% 44% 33% 18%
1% 12% 3% 2% 5% 4% 7% 2% 0% 2%
4% 6% 3% 2% 12% 4% 1% 4% 7% 5% 6% 7% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%
520 1050 1000 997 1000 1209 1037 1086 4548 1013 1025 500 510 500 1000 5581 1049 1000 503 1505
81% 89% 20% 59% 67% 90% 77% 83% 74% 71% 69% 92% 44% 79% 84% 90% 93% 88% 75% 96%
9% 6% 48% 28% 25% 8% 16% 5% 19% 20% 22% 3% 51% 16% 12% 6% 4% 9% 22% 2%
5% 1% 30% 2% 4% 1% 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0%
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WIN-Gallup International GLOBAL INDEX OF RELIGIOSITY AND ATHEISM - 2012 Cameroon 504 82% 14% 3% South Sudan 1020 79% 10% 6% Note: Global Average is weighted according to Weighting Scheme explained in the Methods Chapter 1% 5%
Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com
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Table 8
59%
A religious person
23%
Not a religious person
13%
A convinced atheist
5%
Dont know / no response
Gender-wise Male Female Age-wise Under 30 30-50 51-65 +65 DK/NR Monthly Household Income-wise Low (Bottom quintile/20%) Medium low (Second quintile/20%) Medium (Third quintile/20%) Medium high (Fourth quintile/20%) High (Top quintile/20%) Refused/Don't know/no answer Education-wise No education/ only basic education Secondary school High level education (e.g. university) NR Religions-wise Roman Catholic Russian or Eastern Orthodox Protestant Other Christian Hindu Muslim
51927 26154 25773 50907 15030 20451 10222 5138 66 49907 9226 10100 10239 7223 6014 7105 50907 11279 24387 15081 160 48036 11495 7659 5334 3242 974 10505
59% 60% 57% 59% 60% 59% 53% 66% 77% 59% 66% 65% 56% 51% 49% 68% 59% 68% 61% 52% 59% 61% 81% 78% 83% 80% 82% 74%
23% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 27% 22% 9% 23% 21% 21% 23% 24% 27% 19% 23% 20% 23% 24% 9% 22% 16% 17% 14% 16% 12% 20%
13% 12% 14% 13% 12% 14% 14% 8% 7% 13% 7% 9% 15% 20% 19% 6% 13% 7% 10% 19% 9% 12% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 3%
5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 7% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 23% 5% 2% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3%
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WIN-Gallup International GLOBAL INDEX OF RELIGIOSITY AND ATHEISM - 2012 38% 54% 2% Jewish 106 97% 2% 0% Buddhist 725 76% 17% 3% Other 1234 3 % 47 % 45 % Nothing 5940 22% 18% 7% Refuse/ NA 822 Note: Global Average is weighted according to Weighting Scheme explained in the Methods Chapter 6% 1% 4% 6% 52%
Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com
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National
National National Urban National National
No
Yes Yes No Yes No
500
1003 1040 510 528 1000 2002 997 504 1003 500 606 1000 506 400 1000 1020 984 1671 1000 502 1505 500 852 1091
Dec 22-Dec26
Nov16-Dec 7 Dec 12 - Dec 13 Dec 2 - Dec 12 Nov 29-Dec 10 Nov 10 - Nov 18 Dec 08 -Dec12 Nov 4 - Nov 10 Oct29 - Nov 5 Nov 22-Nov 29 Nov 28 - Dec 8 Dec 1-Dec 6 Nov 16-Nov 28 Dec 02 Dec 08 Nov, 2011 Nov 04 Nov 13 Dec 16-Dec 20 Nov 6 - Nov 21 Dec 2-Dec 3-Dec 4 Dec 10-Dec19 9-Dec Nov 7-Nov 22 Nov 24 - Dec 11 Nov 24 - Dec 2 Dec 3 - Dec 10
National
National
No
Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes No Yes Yes Yes
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Munqith Dagher Sinead Mooney / Roisin OCoineen Paolo Colombo Hisako Kumada Margit Cleveland SelimSaad Renata evcovien Kalina Medarovska Kho Chai Kiat Ivanisheva Natalya Imre van Rooijen Josiah Kimanzi Fatima, Idrees (Ms.) Nabil Kukali Gustavo Yrala Grzegorz Dbrowski Lucian Rotariu Ivanisheva Natalya Mohammed M. Aayed Petar Krstic Patson Gasura, Diana Nyarirangwe & Florence Ndanga Hyunjeong Jung
Margit Cleveland
IIACSS RED C Research & Marketing Ltd Doxa Nippon Research Center, Ltd. Infinite Insight
Face to face Online Face to face Self Administered Face to face Telephone Face to face Face to face Face to face Face to face Telephone Face to face Face to face Face to face Face to face Face to face Face to face Online Telephone Face to face Face to face Face to face
Face to face
Urban National National National National National National National National National National Urban National National National Urban National Urban Urban National National National
National
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No No Yes No Yes No No No Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes
Yes
1000 1001 987 1200 1,000 500 1025 1209 520 1086 505 1,049 2705 626 1207 520 1050 1000 502 1037 200 1,524
1,020
Nov 20 - Dec 2 Dec 2-Dec 11 Nov 21-Dec 4 Nov 2 - Nov 14 Oct 26 - Nov 05 Nov, 2011 Dec 05-Dec12 Nov 18 - Nov 27 Nov 2 - Nov 30 Nov 30 - Dec 12 Nov 14-Nov 21 Nov 4-Nov 31 Dec 27 - Dec 3 Nov 29 - Dec 8 Dec 8 - Dec 10 Dec 30 Jan 5 Nov 26-Dec 5 Dec 25 - Dec 28 Nov, 2011 Nov 3-Nov 8 Dec 2 - Dec 6 Nov 18-Dec 6
Nov 5 - Dec 6
margit@infiniteinsight.net s.saad@reachmass.com renata.sevcoviene@rait.lt kalina@brima.com.mk Chaikiat.kho@tnsglobal.com Ivanisheva.N@romir.ru i.van.rooijen@marketresponse.nl jkimanzi@rms-africa.com fatima.idrees@gallup.com.pk dr.kukali@pcpo.org gyrala@datum.com.pe grzegorz.dabrowski@mareco.pl lucian.rotariu@csop.ro Ivanisheva.N@romir.ru m.aayed@parc-ksa.com petar.krstic@tnsmediumgallup.co. rs patson@topliners.co.za, diana@topliners.co.za & Florence@topliners.co.za hjujung@gallup.co.kr
margit@infiniteinsight.net
REACH S.A.L RAIT Ltd. BRIMA TNS RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL Romir Market Response TNS RMS Nigeria Gallup Pakistan Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) Datum Internacional S.A. Mareco Polska T.N.S. C.S.O.P Romir PAN ARAB RESEARCH CENTER (PARC) TNS Medium Gallup Topline Research Solutions (TRS) Gallup Korea
Infinite Insight
Carlos Clavero / Luciano Miguel Johan Lilliecreutz Barbara Schumacher Nabil Belaam Derya Deerli / Esra Dalg Ivanisheva Natalya Cindy Kaminski Ivanisheva Natalya
carlos.clavero@institutodym.es / luciano.miguel@institutodym.es
Instituto DYM
Face to face Online Face to face Face to face Telephone Face to face online Face to face
Nov 17-Dec 6 Nov 9-Nov 11 Nov 23 - Dec 5 Nov 24-Dec 2 Dec 6 - Dec 12 Nov 22 - Dec 4 Nov 22-Nov 29 Nov 16-Dec 6
CMA Research AB johan.lilliecreutz@cmaresearch.se Barbara.schumacher@isopublic.c ISOPUBLIC AG h EMRHOD emrhod@gnet.tn INTERNATIONAL d.degerli@barem.com.tr Barem Research /e.dalgic@barem.com.tr Ivanisheva.N@romir.ru Romir ckaminski@trig-us.com TRiG Ivanisheva.N@romir.ru Romir
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34-
(n=51,927) a. Fact to Face: Countries 35 (n=33,890) b. Telephone: Countries 11 (n=7,661) c. Online: Countries 11 (n=10,376) National: Countries 45 (n=43,214) Urban only: Countries 12 (n=8,713) November 2011 January, 2012
Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com
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For more details : Rushna Shahid Assisting Gallup International Opinion Research Group Tele: +92-51-2655630 Fax: +92-51-2655632 Email: rushna.shahid@gallup.com.pk Irene Zuettel Gallup International Zurich Tele: +41 (0) 44 806 6650 Fax : +41 (0) 44 806 6660 Email:jirene.zuettel@gallup-international.com
Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com
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